Business Valuation Archives - HealthCare Appraisers https://healthcareappraisers.com/category/business-valuation-insight/ Fair Market Valuation Experts Mon, 22 Apr 2024 22:21:52 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 https://healthcareappraisers.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/cropped-HAI_Favicon-32x32.png Business Valuation Archives - HealthCare Appraisers https://healthcareappraisers.com/category/business-valuation-insight/ 32 32 2024 Outlook: Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care https://healthcareappraisers.com/2024-outlook-home-health-hospice-and-personal-care/ Mon, 22 Apr 2024 17:59:05 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7473 The post 2024 Outlook: Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

The home care sector, which includes Medicare-certified home health, hospice, personal care, and other specialty providers, represents an attractive investment opportunity for financial and strategic acquirers, despite certain headwinds facing the sector. While the space continues to benefit from aging demographics and the shift to value-based care, several factors, including higher interest rates, reimbursement headwinds, and staffing shortages, have cooled the M&A market. This article provides background information on many of the home care business models we work with, and provides insight into the main factors impacting the market.

BACKGROUND

Home healthcare is the provision of medical care in the patient’s home following an injury or illness. The patient’s “home” can range from personal residence, skilled nursing facility, assisted living community, or wherever the patient calls home. Common home healthcare services include patient monitoring, medication management, assessing patient falls, palliative care, identifying diet and nutritional deficiencies, observing mental health, patient education, and functional support such as dressing and feeding patients. In order to qualify for Medicare reimbursement for home health services, the patient must be unable to leave their home without considerable effort, and must require part-time or intermittent skilled care, as certified by a physician. Hospice is a type of healthcare that provides comfort to patients with a prognosis of less than six months to live. In many cases, hospice is provided in a home setting as a type of home healthcare. Personal care is defined more broadly, and may include medical and non-medical care provided in the home, can be provided by a wide range of healthcare professionals, and is reimbursed under a number of different models including Medicaid, private insurance, and cash pay.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 1

Home healthcare agencies engage a variety of providers and non-providers, including nurses, therapists, and social workers, with care coordinated with the patient’s physician. Hospice care, on the other hand, is provided through many of the same types of providers as home health but can also include religious or spiritual counselors and bereavement specialists. Hospice care can also include services outside of traditional medicine, including animal and music therapy. Personal care can be provided by family members or caregivers employed by a personal care agency.

SIZE OF THE MARKET

As of 2021, the most recently reported CMS data, there were approximately 3 million Medicare beneficiaries receiving home healthcare services, and 1.7 million Medicare beneficiaries receiving hospice services. There are approximately 11,300 Medicare certified home health agencies and 5,900 hospice agencies in the United States, as presented in Figure 2.[1]

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 2

According to CMS, total expenditures for home healthcare in 2021 was $125.[2] billion.2 Home healthcare expenditures had been increasing at a rate of approximately four to five percent per year from 2014 through 2019. In 2020, expenditures increased approximately 11 percent, but remained flat in 2021. The large increase in 2020 was related to COVID-19 as patients preferred to avoid long-term care and other healthcare facilities, which were often the source of outbreaks. Figure 3 presents home health expenditures from 2014 through 2021, as well as projected expenditures through 2031. CMS projects annual increases ranging from 6 percent to 8 percent for home healthcare expenditures through 2031.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 3

There are many growth drivers impacting the increase in home healthcare expenditures in the United States. Major factors include the aging population, the shift to value-based care and recognition by providers and payors that home healthcare can help reduce readmissions, and the overall push to control costs within the healthcare system. In particular, home healthcare is increasingly being utilized to keep elderly patients in their homes as opposed to assisted-living communities. Home healthcare providers are also being used as an alternative to, or an extender of, primary care physicians, and this trend is expected to accelerate as the shortage of primary care physicians is anticipated to worsen in the coming years.[4]

REIMBURSEMENT
Home Health

Beginning in 2020, the implementation of Patient-Driven Groupings Model (“PDGM”) significantly altered how home healthcare services are reimbursed. Under this payment model, the number of payment groupings increased from 153 to 432 and are classified based on episode timing, referral source, clinical category, functional/cognitive level, and presence of comorbidities. CMS also eliminated the Request for Anticipated Payment (“RAP”) for new providers in 2020 and for existing providers in 2021. It had been foreseen that the increasing complexity of the payment model, as well as cash flow issues arising from the RAP phase out, would lead to increasing consolidation within the industry; although, thus far, this has not come to fruition. Instead, ongoing uncertainty surrounding pay cuts from CMS and headwinds associated with Medicare Advantage (“MA”) reimbursement have hung over the M&A markets and led to fewer transactions.

In addition to PDGM, CMS recently implemented the nationwide rollout of the Home Health Value-Based Purchasing (“HHVBP”) Model, which applies an adjustment to home health agencies’ reimbursement based on certain quality metrics. The quality metrics include measurements related to mobility, self care, improvements in breathing, improving medication management, various hospital utilization metrics, and patient satisfaction surveys. HHVBP has been tested in several states in recent years and the nationwide rollout took effect in 2023. Under the model, all agencies are eligible for an adjustment of up to 5 percent (positive or negative) based on their performance relative to the benchmarks discussed herein. Given that the program was only recently implemented nationally, there is no data yet regarding outcomes[5], but during the testing phase in the first nine states[6], CMS reported that the program generated average annual savings of $141 million and quality scores generally improved.[7] Our work in the space suggests providers are still learning how to optimize care under the model, but larger providers are likely better able to adjust operationally in order to benefit from the payment system.

The 2024 final rule for home health included a 0.8 percent increase in reimbursement, which, given the inflationary environment in recent years, was met with significant pushback from operators in the space. The final rule was less detrimental than the initial proposed rule, which included a 2.2 percent cut to reimbursement. For multiple years in a row, CMS has proposed significant cuts to reimbursement in the proposed rule and then finalized less severe cuts or slight increases in the final rule. This uncertainty hanging over the industry has created difficulty for operators and created headwinds to M&A activity.

CMS finalized a permanent adjustment cut that will result in a negative 2.6 percent impact, offset by a positive market basket update of 3.3 percent. After productivity adjustments and fixed dollar loss ratio adjustments, the result is a positive 0.8 percent versus the proposed negative 2.2 percent. The continued march of these cuts where the home health community does not know what to expect from Medicare year after year is not helpful in creating a stable home health landscape.

ENHABIT, INC.

Over the past few months, we have continued to see limited strategic opportunities in both personal care and home health due to the reimbursement uncertainty that exists in each of these segments. As we have more clarity around these particular issues, we believe that we will start to see increasing acquisition opportunities in these segments that will meet our strategic objectives.

ADDUS HOMECARE CORPORATION

In addition to headwinds from CMS reimbursement, many home health operators struggle to achieve favorable reimbursement rates from MA plans. The market for home health remains highly fragmented, and the lack of scale in geographic markets makes it difficult for operators to negotiate with MA plans. Unlike many types of providers, including hospitals and dialysis clinics, which operate in consolidated markets where MA plans pay similar rates to Medicare fee-for-service (“FFS”), in home health, MA rates are typically lower than Medicare FFS. Several large operators in the space have publicly discussed canceling contracts with MA plans and focusing on providing care to patients with Medicare FFS or other payor arrangements. Recent studies suggest that some patients with MA plans may receive fewer visits and have worse functional outcomes compared to Medicare FFS patients.[8] We also believe several of the large transactions in the space, including LHC Group and Amedisys[9] being acquired by UnitedHealth Group’s Optum, have been driven at least in part by MA related headwinds.

And for those plans that continue to view us simply as a cheap per visit provider and won’t recognize that labor inflation is real and try to simply cram lower rates and lower utilization on us, we will no longer be working with them. We just can’t afford to. We have a finite amount of clinical capacity, and we must be paid in a manner that allows us to provide quality of care with the excellent outcomes Amedisys is known for. If plans do not want to partner with us on reasonable terms, we will have to cancel contracts and [shift] our capacity to our strategic partners who value our results.

AMEDISYS, INC.

HOSPICE

Hospice reimbursement is based on a daily payment rate that is determined according to a fee schedule depending on the level of care provided. There are four levels of care that can be provided under the hospice Medicare benefit, each with its own payment rate. The most common is routine home care, which accounts for 98 percent of all hospice days and has a 2024 payment rate of $218 per day for the first 60 days, and $172 per day thereafter. The four levels of care and the associated base payment rates are presented in Figure 4.[10] The base rates are then adjusted to reflect different labor costs in different geographic locations throughout the United States. There is a cap on aggregate hospice payments per patient, which, for FY 2024, is $33,494. Payments exceeding this cap can result in claw backs by CMS in subsequent years. CMS’s 2024 final rule resulted in a 3.1 percent increase in total payments to hospice providers.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 4

PERSONAL CARE

Reimbursement for personal care services varies from state to state and can be paid for by Medicaid, MA, private insurance, or cash pay patients. Many state Medicaid plans reimburse for personal care services through a time-based payment method. This is typically an hourly rate, and can range from less than $20 to more than $30 per hour. A few states reimburse on a per day or per visit basis.[11]

In April of 2023, CMS proposed the Ensuring Access to Medicaid Services proposed rule. Among other provisions, the rule would require 80 percent of Medicaid payments for personal care, home health aide, and home maker services be spent on compensation for the direct care workforce. This would leave the remaining 20 percent of the payment to cover overhead expenses and profit of the provider. We note that several states already have similar rules in place, but the CMS rule would apply nationally.[12] While the rule appears to be on track to be finalized, the exact contents of the final rule have not been publicized and could contain different terms from the proposal. Assuming there is an 80 percent passthrough requirement, we believe it could catalyze a period of consolidation, as providers with scale will have the ability to spread a larger revenue base over their fixed cost structure. The following quote illustrates how operators in the space are thinking about the new rule.

Let me provide you with some thoughts related to the Medicaid Access Proposed Rule that was introduced last year. Many comments were submitted expressing concern towards the proposed 80 percent compensation requirement to be implemented by states within a 4-year period. A final rule concerning this issue was sent to The Office of Management and Budget on January 26 for their review and clearance. Based on this timing, we feel that the rule is on track to be finalized in April of this year [2024]. The contents of the final rules are unknown at this time and could be significantly different than the proposed rule. While we aren’t sure whether this rule will contain the 80 percent requirement, a different percentage requirement, or ultimately be implemented, we would not be surprised to see the four-year implementation period extended. We do believe that a key for personal care providers to be successful with any minimum requirement for direct wages is to have scale in each state in which they provide care. This will not only allow those providers to spread their costs over a larger revenue base, but also will provide more opportunity for meaningful patient advocacy within the state in which they operate.

ADDUS HOMECARE CORPORATION

OUTLOOK
Higher Acuity Care

Recent improvements in technology and care provision standards have enabled home health providers to admit higher acuity patients. The largest operators in the space have focused on initiatives including “agingin- place,” “hospital-at-home,” and “SNF-at-home” models involving caring for higher acuity patients in the home setting. The increasing prevalence of value-based care arrangements and the rapid growth of MA, are expected to contribute to an acceleration of these trends. A recent example is Amedisys’ acquisition of Contessa Health in June of 2021 for 3.9x LTM revenue, which significantly expanded Amedisys’ footprint in the hospital-at-home, SNF-at-home, and palliative care space. This transaction, and the ability to provide care to higher acuity patients, increases the total addressable market for Amedisys (and other home health providers) from $44 billion to $73 billion.[13] There has also been a push to provide more dialysis in the home, which could provide an additional avenue for growth for home health companies. For more information on home dialysis, and the dialysis industry overall, lookout for our forthcoming Industry Outlook article on the dialysis and kidney care industry.

Recent studies of hospital-at-home programs suggest the care model is effective and many operators believe we are approaching a tipping point of adoption. Specifically, one study of hospital-at-home patients showed relatively few patients were transferred to the hospital[14], while another showed patients were less likely to experience delirium at the home than in the hospital.[15] CMS’s Acute Hospital Care at Home waiver, which started under COVID, has been extended through 2024, and market participants expect another extension through 2025. As of the date of this publication, there are 312 hospitals across 131 health systems that have been approved to participate in the program. There is also proposed legislation (the HOME Services Act) that would expand the scope of services that can be offered through hospitalat- home models to include patients under observational status.

We have observed multiple hospital-at-home models and continue to see interest in the space from operators and investors. The growth and success of Contessa’s joint venture model, and recent improvements in technology, point toward continued expansion of these services, particularly in connection with value-based care arrangements. In addition to the joint venture model, there are hospital-at-home companies, like Medically Home, that enable hospitals and home care providers to implement hospital-athome programs through the use of licensed technology and other services. The lack of long-term clarity on the regulatory environment remains a key risk for operators in the sector, although the continued extension of the CMS waiver and proposed HOME Services Act serve as an indication that the models are here to stay. The ability to find nurses to care for patients in these arrangements remains a challenge, and, in our experience, operators typically recruit nurses with hospital-based work experience due to the requirements of the role. The need for a rapid response network (including 30-minute call response time) requires providers to place a premium on nursing. Utilizing virtual visits has been, and will continue to be, critical to growth of hospital-at-home arrangements, as is the use of social workers. Thus far, more than 100 hospital DRGs are covered by MA plans for hospital-at-home. The most common conditions treated under the CMS Waiver have been respiratory infection, heart failure and shock, and severe sepsis or septicemia, all with a comorbidity or severe complication.[16] An example of a hospital-at-home joint venture model is presented in the following infographic.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 5

Staffing Shortage, Access to Care, and Telehealth

As with many other healthcare sectors, home health companies have struggled with recruiting and retaining nurses, resulting in a shortage of providers and higher costs to provide care. The rise of travel nursing and contract labor, burnout resulting from COVID-19 and other work-related stress, and providers seeking more flexibility and work-life balance, have contributed to the shortage. The shortage of providers leads to a higher reliance on contract labor, which typically is more expensive compared to the cost of employed clinicians. In the hospice space specifically, clinical staff turnover and job vacancies reached elevated levels in 2022 and 2023, leading to a record high rejection rate of 41 percent among hospices.[17] While many of the companies we work with indicate that the staffing situation has improved in recent quarters, reducing turnover and securing adequate supply of clinicians will continue to be a focus for home health providers in the coming years.

In addition to staffing shortages, other factors can contribute to lack of access to care. One factor that influences the availability of home health and hospice services is certificate of need (“CON”) requirements of the state. Based on our analysis of data from CMS, there is a correlation between states where home health and hospice services are regulated by CON laws, and the ratio of Medicare enrollees per agency in that state. For example, when looking at the 10 states with the highest number of enrollees per agency (i.e., less care available per enrollee), 8 have CON laws regulating home health and/or hospice. Conversely, the 10 states with lowest number of enrollees per agency (i.e., more care available per enrollee), 7 have no CON laws regulating home health or hospice, 1 regulates hospice only, and 2 have CON laws pertaining to home health.[18] While this analysis does not account for the size of the agency, this analysis suggests that CON laws, which create barriers to entry for regulated services, has limited the number of agencies per enrollee. The following maps illustrate the relationship between CON regulations and availability of care, with blue states on the CON map encompassing more of the darker blue on the availability of care map. Overall, there are 16 states and the District of Columbia which have CON laws regulating home health and hospice, as well as Florida, which regulates hospice only. Valuation multiples in these states also tend to be higher due to the lesser supply and competition.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 6
2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 7

Telehealth has played a role in reshaping the home health landscape as providers increase their use of technology to provide better care for patients at lower costs. Some of the most common applications of telehealth in the home health space include patient monitoring, medication management, image sharing technology, mobile apps for telehealth consultations with providers, and population health.[19] The ability to provide these services to patients in their homes without sending a provider to the patient represents a significant opportunity for home health agencies to reach more patients, particularly in rural areas or markets with a material shortage of providers. Similarly, with recent Medicare expansions in reimbursement for telehealth services,[20] home health will increase in prominence as part of the continuum of care after discharge. CMS has made permanent some of the changes to telehealth regulations that were put in place during the pandemic, which should enable continued growth of telehealth services within the home health space. Given the steep Medicare penalties associated with patient readmissions, we have observed many health systems utilize home health as a means to treat patients before they require hospital care. Providers are combining chronic care management with remote patient monitoring to provide costeffective treatment to patients with ongoing serious health conditions. Examples abound of increasing adoption (including among physicians) of remote monitoring devices in the patient’s home in order to improve care.[21]

PACE and Other Specialty Models

We have observed increased interest in the Programs of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (“PACE”) program in recent years. PACE is a capitated payment model for dual eligibles that covers both Medicaid and Medicare services for those individuals that enroll in the program. The program provides comprehensive care through a number of providers, but typically includes a substantial home health component, as the goal is to enable the patients to stay in the home as long as possible. There are 159 PACE organizations operating in 32 states, and more than 72,000 individuals are enrolled in the program, up from 35,000 in 2015.[22] Most PACE providers are nonprofit organizations, but InnovAge (Nasdaq: INNV) is one of the larger, for-profit providers in the space. While the program remains relatively small, InnovAge estimates the addressable market to be 2.2 million lives and $235 billion in revenue, and projects the market will grow to approximately 200,000 participants by 2028.[23]

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 8

There continues to be significant activity in the in-home physician services space as well. Many of these providers incorporate APPs, home health, and personal care to provide a high touch care model that manages chronic disease and reduces hospitalizations. These groups work with Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and other value-focused payors. In some models, the provider is sub-capitated beneath the MA plan, while other models involve shared savings/losses or other risk arrangements. Many of the providers we work with in the space emphasize the need to bring as much care as possible under the primary care umbrella and refer patients to specialized settings as needed.

Behavioral home health represents a growing subsector within the home health space, with many operators focused on providing substance abuse, depression, anxiety, and other forms of clinical care in the patient’s home. These providers typically utilize high touch care models and rely on telehealth as well. Types of care provided include psychiatric evaluations, physical assessments, medication management, counseling, patient and family member/care giver education, care coordination, as well as others. With growing focus on behavioral health and the recognition of its contribution to overall patient and population health, we expect this area to continue to generate interest and activity in the coming years.

Consolidation and Value-Based Care

Consolidation activity in the home health sector in recent years has been characterized by large platform transactions, the largest of which were acquired by payors or “payviders.” UnitedHealth Group, through its Optum subsidiary, acquired LHC Group and is in the process of acquiring Amedisys, which would make it the largest home health provider in the country with approximately 10 percent market share. CVS, which owns Aetna, acquired Signify Health, and Humana remains active in building its home health and senior primary care business.

Much of this acquisition activity by large insurance companies is driven by value-based care strategies, particularly in the MA space. UnitedHealth and Humana, in particular, have discussed using home health as a means of delivering ongoing care outside of facilities and helping to manage chronic care patients. Similarly, BrightSpring Health Services recently went public through an initial public offering and provides home health and pharmacy services to senior and specialty patients. BrightSpring focuses on complex patients with multiple health conditions, which represent approximately 5 percent of the population but comprise 50 percent of healthcare spending.[24]

More broadly, the shift to value-based care across the healthcare continuum will likely lead to further demand for home health as the increasing prevalence of capitated payment models and population health initiatives incentivizes groups of providers to lean more heavily on lower-cost settings, when clinically appropriate, for patient care. Home health can be utilized to reduce the cost of post-acute care by keeping patients out of expensive facilities and institutions, as well as to better maintain health and monitor chronic conditions, which could lower emergency room utilization and reduce the overall cost burden associated with these conditions. In general, larger providers are better able to participate in these models given their scale and access to resources and technology. We expect this will contribute to further consolidation.

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY AND VALUATIONS

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 9

Transaction activity peaked in 2021 and early 2022 before starting to normalize, with 2023 representing a return to pre-COVID levels of transaction volume. As interest rates increased in 2022 and 2023, buyers were less willing to pay elevated multiples, and sellers took time to adjust to the new market dynamics. In addition, the reimbursement headwinds in home health discussed earlier played a role in slowing transaction activity. The prior figure, which is based on data from Irving Levin, DealStats, and Mertz Taggart, presents transaction volume from 2018 through 2023. Based on publicly available transaction data and our experience working on many home health and hospice transactions, smaller agencies are typically transacting in the 4x to 8x EBITDA range (Figure 10). Larger providers with a regional footprint and/or higher acuity services can transact in the mid-teens in terms of EBITDA multiples, although valuations have come down from 2021 levels.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 10

As illustrated in Figure 11 there have been many notable, transformative transactions in recent years. In addition to large, publicly traded home health operators, several private equity firms have established large, regional or national organizations, and health systems and payors, such as UnitedHealth and Humana, are heavily involved in the space. In particular, UnitedHealth acquired LHC Group for approximately 25x EBITDA (22x forward EBITDA). UnitedHealth then announced it intends to acquire Amedisys, which was in talks to merge with Option Care Health (Nasdaq: OPCH), a provider of in-home infusion services. The Amedisys deal has not yet closed, and UnitedHealth Group is currently facing antitrust investigation from the Department of Justice, although the investigation is not limited to its home health business. Once the deal closes, the combined platform would have approximately 10 percent market share. CVS Health acquired Signify Health for 31x estimated forward EBITDA (46x trailing 12-month EBITDA). As valuebased care increases in prominence and importance within the healthcare industry, we expect more integration of the care continuum with payors and health systems bringing more home health services into their networks. We note that many of these valuation multiples include synergies (both revenue and cost synergies), and the ability to execute on those synergies will determine whether or not the transactions are a success.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 11

Figures 12 and 13 present valuation multiples and analyst-estimated revenue growth rates for the publicly traded operators in the home care sector. Valuation multiples have come down in recent years due to several of the factors discussed throughout this article, including higher interest rates, provider shortages, and reimbursement uncertainties. Despite these headwinds, analysts project positive revenue growth rates as the shift toward home care and an aging population should provide support for revenue growth going forward. We anticipate many of these public operators may be active in closing bolt-on acquisitions as they may be better positioned than their private-equity backed competitors given the current interest rate environment.

2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 12
2024 Outlook - Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care Figure 13

CONCLUSION

Despite some of the headwinds discussed herein, including staffing shortages and reimbursement challenges, home care continues to represent an important aspect of the continuum of care. We believe deal volumes will improve in 2024 as both buyers and sellers have had time to adjust to the new interest rate and operating environment. The experts at HealthCare Appraisers have provided advisory and valuation services to home care operators and acquirers for more than 20 years and are well equipped to help navigate the changing landscape.

CONTACT THE EXPERTS AT HEALTHCARE APPRAISERS TO DISCUSS YOUR ADVISORY AND VALUATION NEEDS REGARDING HOME HEALTH, HOSPICE AND PERSONAL CARE IN 2024.

[1] MedPAC.gov; Payment Basics; Accessed February 29, 2024
[2] CMS.gov; CMS analyzed healthcare expenditures based on funding sources, as well as site of service; therefore, healthcare expenditure data for home healthcare includes hospice spending that takes place in the home of the patient but does not include hospice spending taking place in a nursing facility, hospital, or any other clinical setting.
[3] Ibid 2
[4] Health Affairs, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2019.00529, Accessed February 29, 2024
[5] We anticipate CMS reporting data in 2025 or some time thereabouts.
[6] The nine states were Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Massachusetts, Maryland, Nebraska, North Carolina, Tennessee and Washington.
[7] CMS.gov, https://www.cms.gov/priorities/innovation/innovation-models/expanded-home-health-value-based-purchasing-model, Accessed March 12, 2024
[8] JAMA, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2815745, Accessed March 5, 2024
[9] This transaction was announced in June of 2023 but has not yet closed.
[10] Ibid 1
[11] KFF.org; https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/payment-rates-for-medicaid-home-and-community-based-services-states-responses-toworkforce- challenges/, Accessed February 27, 2024
[12] CMS.gov; https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/ensuring-access-medicaid-services-cms-2442-p-notice-proposed-rulemaking; Accessed February 27, 2024
[13] Amedisys, https://investors.amedisys.com/news/news-details/2021/Amedisys-Announces-Agreement-to-Acquire-Contessa-Health-Creating-a- Comprehensive-Home-Healthcare-Delivery-Platform/default.aspx, Accessed February 28, 2024
[14] Homehealthcarenews.com, https://homehealthcarenews.com/2023/11/cms-acute-hospital-care-at-home-waiver-delivers-promising-results/; Accessed February 28, 2024
[15] JAMA, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2811346, Accessed February 28, 2024
[16] Healthcarefinancenews.com, https://www.healthcarefinancenews.com/news/acute-hospital-care-home-gets-good-grades-cms-research, accessed March 11, 2024
[17] Hospital & Healthcare Compensation Service; https://www.hhcsinc.com/hcs-reports.html, Accessed February 29, 2024
[18] Includes District of Columbia
[19] Healthcare Dive, https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/home-health-agencies-expanding-rolling-out-more-telehealth-services/568320/, Accessed February 29, 2024
[20] Mhealthintelligence.com, https://mhealthintelligence.com/news/cms-finalizes-new-reimbursement-rules-for-remote-patient-monitoring, Accessed February 28, 2024
[21] Mhealthintelligence.com, https://mhealthintelligence.com/news/current-and-future-doctors-are-more-than-ready-to-use-mhealth-wearables, Accessed February 28, 2024
[22] National PACE Association, https://www.npaonline.org/find-a-pace-program#:~:text=Find%20a%20PACE%20Program%20Near,72%2C000%20 participants%20across%20the%20country.&text=Start%20with%20a%20state%20search,search%20to%20refine%20the%20results., Accessed March 12, 2024
[23] InnovAge Investor Presentation, https://investor.innovage.com/static-files/f964ac5b-8cc2-4941-9fcb-22e91cd53032, Accessed March 12, 2024
[24] SEC.gov, BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. S-1 Filing, Accessed March 5, 2024
[25] DealStats, Mertz Taggart, LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2024, March, levinassociates.com
[26] DealStats, Accessed March 5, 2024

 

The post 2024 Outlook: Home Health, Hospice and Personal Care appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
Hospital-based physician staffing industry outlook: The forces of COVID-19, NSA and inflation https://healthcareappraisers.com/hospital-based-physician-staffing-industry-outlook-the-forces-of-covid-19-nsa-and-inflation/ Mon, 22 Apr 2024 15:57:09 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7458 The post Hospital-based physician staffing industry outlook: The forces of COVID-19, NSA and inflation appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

Originally published in the MGMA April 2024 edition of MGMA Connection.

Download the PDF

The post Hospital-based physician staffing industry outlook: The forces of COVID-19, NSA and inflation appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
2024 Outlook: Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices https://healthcareappraisers.com/2024-outlook-diagnostic-imaging-centers-and-radiology-practices/ Thu, 14 Mar 2024 14:09:12 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7384 The post 2024 Outlook: Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

HealthCare Appraisers has recently observed interest from a wide range of clients on various radiology transactions, including joint venture formation, hospital outpatient department (“HOPD”) conversions, practice and independent diagnostic testing facility (“IDTF”) acquisitions by health systems and other strategic acquirers, and hospital-based radiology services arrangements, among others. Diagnostic imaging centers, along with many other healthcare providers and operators, experienced strong utilization throughout 2023, and some of the largest operators in the space expect this trend to continue. For example, RadNet, Inc. (“RadNet”) reported significant backlogs on its recent earnings calls with investors and currently has 12 de novo centers under construction.[1] This article discusses the major trends impacting the imaging industry, including the shift from hospital departments to IDTFs, the regulatory and reimbursement landscape, the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning within the industry, consolidation of radiology practices, and valuations within the industry.

 IMAGING MARKET BACKGROUND

The imaging market in the United States is estimated to generate revenue of more than $100 billion[2] annually, with radiology practices and imaging centers accounting for approximately $23.8 billion[3] in annual revenue. Annual imaging procedures have been growing at a low single digit pace and are projected to continue to grow at a low single digit pace, with a modest acceleration in growth rates in the coming years (Figure 1).

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 1

Approximately 40 to 50 percent of imaging volume is performed at outpatient imaging centers and physician clinics, while the remaining 50 to 60 percent is conducted within hospitals (Figure 2). Within the outpatient segment, there are approximately 6,800[4] IDTFs in what is a highly fragmented market.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 2

 HOSPITAL DEPARTMENT OUTMIGRATION

One of the major ongoing trends impacting the diagnostic imaging industry is the shift of inpatient volumes away from the hospital setting. Diagnostic imaging volumes have been shifting away from hospital campuses due to the lower cost of performing these procedures at IDTFs, site neutral payment policies from CMS, and site of care reviews during the prior authorization processes implemented by private payors in the last few years. Site neutral payment policies make hospital department imaging procedures less profitable, thus not allowing them to support the higher expense structure and instead seek joint venture partnerships as IDTFs. Estimates regarding the percentage of procedures that could be impacted by site of review policies from private payors range from 80 to 90 percent in non-rural markets[5], suggesting that the impact to hospitals as a result of these policies, especially if implemented by additional payors, could be substantial.

In addition to action by payors, the rise of high deductible health plans and recent price transparency regulations may accelerate the trend toward lower cost settings. Radiologic imaging is one area of healthcare in which there is a well-documented elasticity of demand, resulting in price discrepencies for comparable services having a large impact on consumer behavior.[6] Price transparency regulations make it easier for consumers to ascertain comparative price information prior to choosing a site of service. These regulations, coupled with the trend toward high deductible health plans (outlined in Figure 3, which illustrates that high deductible health plans have increased from approximately 30 percent of the private insurance market to more than 50 percent in recent years[7]) in which consumers are more incentivized to price shop for healthcare services, should create an environment in which IDTFs continue to gain market share.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 3

Convenience is also a factor driving consumer behavior as visiting an IDTF for a scan is generally easier than navigating a hospital campus. Additionally, COVID-19 accelerated the shift away from hospital campuses as patients either elected not to, or were precluded from going to, hospital campuses during the acute phase of the pandemic.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 4

 JOINT VENTURE ACTIVITY

The shifting of diagnostic imaging volume to the IDTF setting has driven provider strategies in a variety of ways, including the formation of joint ventures. As indicated in the quote from RadNet’s CEO, infra, nonhospital providers of radiologic imaging (and many other healthcare services as well) are increasingly receiving interest from hospitals and health systems regarding joint venture arrangements. These joint venture IDTFs provide benefits to both parties, as hospitals are able to mitigate some of the negative impact from lost volume, as well as provide physicians and patients with a wider range of imaging service options. IDTFs benefit from increased volume from hospitals and potentially better reimbursement rates from payors as partnerships with health systems provide IDTFs with more negotiating power.

We now have 3 joint ventures with Cedars-Sinai encompassing 16 locations in the West Side, Downtown and San Fernando Valley areas of Los Angeles. As an increasing amount of patient volumes are being directed away from expensive hospital-based imaging procedures towards more cost-effective ambulatory outpatient settings, hospitals and health systems are seeking valuable long-term strategies for outpatient imaging. This is leading to increased interest among hospitals and health systems to engage with us in partnerships, discussions and outpatient strategies. RadNet’s current partners are some of the largest and most successful systems in our geographies, including RWJ Barnabas, MemorialCare, Dignity Health, Lifebridge, University of Maryland Medical System, Cedars-Sinai and others. Our hospital and health system partners have been instrumental in increasing our procedural volumes through their relationships with physician partners. Additionally, the joint venture partners are helpful in providing support, if needed, in establishing long-term equitable outpatient reimbursement rates for our services. After giving effect to the expanded Cedars-Sinai relationship, 130 of our 366 centers or 36 percent are now held within health system partnerships.

RADNET, INC.[8]

Despite the trend toward establishing joint ventures as IDTFs, HealthCare Appraisers continues to see some interest in converting IDTFs to HOPDs in certain markets (primarily rural markets) in order to capture the higher reimbursement. In order to qualify as an HOPD, the imaging service must be meet certain requirements, including, among others, location/distance from the hospital facility or campus, providerbased status, and licensing and certification. Hospital outpatient prospective payment system (“OPPS”) reimbursement rates are significantly higher than the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule (“MPFS”) for most imaging services. We note that certain imaging procedures, including common mammography procedures, are billed under CPT Codes with a status code “A” wherein they are reimbursed under the MPFS regardless of the site of service. The following quote from RadNet highlights the disparity between reimbursement under the MPFS and OPPS.

The [OPPS] schedule now has over a 30 percent premium relative to the [Physician] Medicare fee schedule, which makes no sense whatsoever, particularly because Medicare supposedly is interested in site neutrality with respect to its reimbursement. So as this spread widens, I think you’re going to have more and more Medicare patients, particularly ones that have a 20 percent co-pay, which is very typical in the Medicare fee-for-service landscape, start directing their business out of hospitals just like the private payors and commercial insurance plans are doing.

RADNET, INC.

In our experience, these HOPD conversions are increasingly limited to markets with certain dynamics (e.g., rural markets where the number of providers/facilities are limited). While each transaction is unique and there are certainly exceptions, the markets we see HOPD conversions taking place in recently included those with lack of IDTF competition or that have one dominant health system in the market, and typically in smaller, rural markets.

 REGULATORY CONSIDERATIONS

There are many regulations and legal considerations that impact the performance and valuation of IDTFs. Some of the key regulations include certificate of need (“CON”) laws, price transparency regulations, site neutral payment initiatives, and the Stark Law and federal Anti-Kickback Statute (“AKS”).

oragne square Many states have CON laws that either directly pertain to imaging services or that may apply to imaging through limits on capital expenditure amounts. Figure 5 illustrates which states have CON laws that may apply to imaging centers. IDTFs in states with CON requirements may face less competition and, as a result, may command higher valuation multiples. For a deeper dive into CON regulations and how they impact value, please see HealthCare Appraisers’ FMVantage Point on the topic.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 5

oragne square Recent price transparency regulations require hospitals and payors to publish price information for certain “shoppable” healthcare services. While the actual impact of these regulations is still being assessed due to hospital noncompliance, utilization patterns within the imaging space may be impacted as more price information becomes available. As discussed earlier, there is a long literature on price elasticity of imaging services, suggesting that volume will shift to the lower cost setting as a result of these regulations. IDTFs located in markets with hospitals listing imaging prices well above outpatient prices could experience an increase in volume as a result of these rules. The regulations could also contribute to consolidation and increased joint venture activity in these markets as hospitals and health systems attempt to recapture some of the lost imaging procedure volume. For more information on the potential impact of price transparency regulations see HealthCare Appraisers’ FMVantage Point.

oragne square CMS has implemented site-neutral payment policies designed to reduce or eliminate reimbursement differentials for certain healthcare services based on site of service. Within radiology, the policy sets reimbursement for imaging services based on the site-specific Medicare Physician Fee Schedule rate, which is 40 percent of the HOPD rate. CMS has been expanding the criteria for HOPDs to qualify for the reduced rate, and certain imaging services receive the reduced rate at all HOPDs.[10] In addition, some private payors, including Anthem and UnitedHealth, have implemented rules in certain states impacting reimbursement for outpatient imaging performed at hospitals.[11] These policies from CMS and private payors should drive more imaging volume to IDTFs going forward as HOPDs become less viable options for hospitals compared to IDTF joint ventures.

oragne square The Stark Law and AKS impact transactions and service agreements in the diagnostic imaging space. Careful attention must be paid to transactions involving the purchase of imaging centers from physicians or physician groups. In addition, professional services arrangements and administrative arrangements involving hospital owners of imaging centers or imaging service lines and physicians must provide compensation that is consistent with fair market value (“FMV”). As imaging centers frequently bill globally for services provided and then remit payment to physicians for their portion of the professional services rendered, FMV is a frequent concern, and requires consideration of CPT codes, modality mix, payor mix, and/or a variety of other factors.

 REIMBURSEMENT TRENDS

Reimbursement trends in the radiology space have been negative for some time, with CMS implementing significant cuts to total allowable charges going back nearly 20 years. Most recently, changes in reimbursement for evaluation and management (E&M) CPT codes led to material declines in reimbursement for many medical specialties that do not frequently bill E&M codes due to budget neutrality provisions, including radiology, primarily through reductions in the conversion factor. Figure 6 illustrates the annual change in total allowable charges for radiology in the MPFS final rule for each year.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 6

As with many other medical specialties, commercial payor reimbursement in the radiology space tends to follow Medicare, suggesting that overall commercial reimbursement rates have been declining as well. Notwithstanding, commercial reimbursement is typically higher than Medicare, and radiology tends to benefit more from this spread than many other specialties. As illustrated in Figure 7, the ratio of commercial payment to Medicare payment is 1.8x for radiology, which is among the highest analyzed in a study from the Urban Institute Health Policy Center.[12] Similarly, a study from Health Affairs found commercial rates for imaging services to be 2.4 times higher than Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates for similar services.[13]

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 7

While commercial reimbursement remains above Medicare reimbursement, many physician groups, including radiology groups, have struggled when negotiating with payors since the passage of the No Surprises Act (“NSA”). In 2021, the federal government issued several regulations with the intent of curtailing surprise billing, and these rules went into effect in 2022. In the context of the hospital-based physician staffing industry, surprise billing was defined as receiving care from an out-of-network (“OON”) provider at an in-network facility. Within the text of the regulation, the government cites numerous statistics surrounding the practice of surprise billing. Figure 8 illustrates the increase in surprise billing from 2010 to 2016.[14] These surprise medical bills frequently cost patients hundreds or thousands of dollars more than if the provider had been in network, and typically don’t count toward the patients deductible or max out-of-pocket.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 8

The NSA essentially required all providers of hospital-based physicians services, including radiology groups, to move in-network, but changed the dynamics in important ways. Without the ability to go OON with payors, physician groups lost significant negotiating leverage. This was further exacerbated by the NSA’s implementation of the Qualifying Payment Amount (“QPA”), which capped the patient’s responsibility at the median contracted rate for “like services” provided in the same geographic market. According to many large provider staffing companies, including Envision Healthcare which operates a large hospital-based radiology business, these dynamics have made it difficult to negotiate favorable rates with payors.

Now the payers have really relied on the implementation [of] the QPA, the qualified payment amount, and look at that in relationship to what the median in-network rate is…they’re utilizing what we call ghost contracting, where they’re taking all providers outside the specialty, including pediatricians, and taking those prevailing rates, which is lowering the QPA to 100% of Medicare or in some cases lower.

PEDIATRIX MEDICAL GROUP[15]

While the legislative policy behind the No Surprises Act is sound, the regulatory implementation of the No Surprises Act has been highly flawed, ultimately shifting the power dynamic in payment disputes too far in the favor of insurance companies (referred to as “payors”). In fact, some payors (including Envision’s single largest payor) have used the No Surprises Act and its implementing regulations as an excuse to avoid payment to medical groups like Envision and affiliated entities. Moreover, payors have aggressively denied, delayed, and reduced payment terms, often below the direct cost of delivering care. This has left Envision, other medical groups, and healthcare providers to deal with the negative financial consequences. Although the legislation included an arbitration process intended to provide a forum for providers and payors to settle disputes, the process has proved highly ineffective.

ENVISION BANKRUPTCY FILINGS[16]

To resolve disputes between payors and providers regarding what the payment for services should be, the NSA created the Independent Dispute Resolution (“IDR”) process. The IDR is effectively an arbitration hearing in which each party to the dispute (i.e., the provider or facility and the payor) submits a proposed payment and the arbitrator selects the appropriate amount from the payments submitted by each of the two parties. While the outcomes of IDR hearings have largely been favorable to providers, with the initiating party (i.e., the provider or facility) prevailing in approximately 71 percent of disputes as of March 31, 2023, CMS has reported a significant backlog due to the high volume of disputes.[17] As a result, even when favorable rulings are achieved, the delay between the provision of services and the collection of payment has increased significantly and caused material delays in cash collections and a lengthening of the cash conversion cycle. This delay in cash receipts has contributed to deteriorating finances for many provider staffing companies, although we note that OON claims also typically take longer to collect on. CMS reported the top 10 initiating parties to IDR disputes, outlined in Figure 9.[18]

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 9

As highlighted in Figure 9, two of the largest initiating parties in IDR disputes are radiology groups. Specifically, Singleton Associates, P.A., majority owned by Radiology Partners, and Sonoran Radiology combined represent 8 percent of disputes in the time period measured. As of the date of this publication, Singleton Associates and its parent, Radiology Partners, are in active litigation over allegations of fraudulent billing practices brought by UnitedHealth Group and its Texas affiliates. HealthCare Appraisers has observed an uptick in requests for valuations of radiology support payments since the passage of the NSA, which is likely due to lower collections from professional services. For more details on how the NSA is impacting hospital-based radiology groups and the broader physician staffing industry, please see our forthcoming article on the hospital-based physician staffing industry.

As discussed earlier, the challenges related to reimbursement have been a driving force for much of the joint venture activity in the space in recent years. Independent physician groups partnering with hospitals or health systems may be able to obtain better reimbursement rates, regardless of whether the imaging center operates as an IDTF or HOPD. We have also seen imaging centers, including RadNet, enter into capitated payment arrangements in an effort to offset declining fee-for-service reimbursement.

 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Operators in the radiologic imaging space have been utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning (“AI”) to improve both clinical and non-clinical functions. On the clinical side, the use of AI to read scans has been discussed, and, to some extent, implemented for years. Although uptake may be slower than some anticipated, we have observed large practices and imaging center operators utilizing certain AI applications to assist with image interpretation, and we expect this trend to continue. The largest barrier to widespread adoption is the lack of reimbursement for utilizing these technologies. We have worked with companies that develop AI in the imaging space, and while the technology has demonstrated benefits with respect to earlier detection and accurate interpretations, there is no incremental revenue associated with practices deploying the technology. Therefore, for the most part, these technologies represent an added cost but no additional revenue. This same issue was discussed by RadNet on a recent earnings call.

We’re going direct to consumer since there is no reimbursement for AI at this point in time. This is a different strategy than almost anything that we’ve attempted in the past, although our prior effort in this was also successful from eight years ago, I think it was when 2D mammography got converted to 3D mammography. And we had a similar process that we implemented to have patients pay for this before it was reimbursed. We expect a similar process to unfold here so that the direct-toconsumer we hope is just a stopgap until it’s adopted by not only more and more of the payors, but more and more employers, as well.

RADNET, INC[20]

As alluded to in the RadNet quote, their primary approach to generating revenue from AI is educating patients on the benefits of using AI, which typically has the ability to catch certain issues that present on a scan before a human radiologist is able to identify it. For example, the company offers its Enhanced Breast Cancer Detection service, which has demonstrated the ability to detect and diagnose breast cancer up to two years earlier than the human eye. At a recent conference, the company indicated this product has a 35 percent adoption rate on the east coast, and was recently rolled out on the west coast. Patients pay $40 out of pocket to receive this service as part of their annual screenings. Over time, the demonstrated ability to detect and diagnose problems earlier should lead to more widespread reimbursement from CMS and private payors, particularly as value-based care models continue to gain traction.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 10

On the non-clinical side, operators are implementing generative AI to perform back-office functions more efficiently. This is certainly not limited to the radiology space, but recent quotes from RadNet shine a light on the potential for this technology to improve administrative efficiency and increase profit margins.

Currently, we rely on manual processes to perform functions that can be more accurately and [efficiently] completed with artificial intelligence. We see a future where patients and referring physicians will be able to schedule appointments, be able to verify patient insurance coverage, be able to request radiology reports and images, receive billing and payment information and pay outstanding balances amongst other things, with significant reduction in manual intervention.

RADNET, INC[21]

 TRANSACTION LANDSCAPE

Transaction activity in the radiology space was robust for several years before cooling off in 2022. This is consistent with the broader healthcare M&A landscape as higher interest rates and economic uncertainty started to impact deal volume in 2022, which continues into 2024. Despite the slower M&A environment, for many of the reasons discussed herein, hospitals remain interested in acquiring ownership in imaging centers, frequently through joint venture arrangements. Private equity sponsors have also been active in acquiring radiology practices due to the fragmented market and the benefits of scale. Figure 11 presents merger and acquisition volume in the radiology space over the last several years. As of the date of this publication, transaction data from 2023 may not be complete as not all sources have reported full year transaction activity.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 11

There are many factors that make the radiology market an attractive sector for acquirers. Radiology practices and IDTFs remain highly fragmented, and there are many benefits to scale. Figure 12 outlines some of the key factors that have contributed to interest in the radiology industry in recent years.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 12

While the industry remains highly fragmented, there have been some large deals in recent years, and several private equity-backed organizations, along with publicly traded operators, are starting to reach considerable scale. RadNet, Inc. is the largest provider focused solely on outpatient imaging services in the country with 366 imaging centers as of September 30, 2023. Akumin, which filed for bankruptcy protection in October of 2023, owned or operated 180 centers and provided services to approximately 1,100 hospitals and health systems in 48 states as of its bankruptcy filing date. Per the bankruptcy agreement, the company will continue to operate under new ownership by its major lenders. Envision Healthcare, which has a significant hospital-based radiology segment, also filed for bankruptcy in May of 2023. Radiology Partners (RadPartners) is the largest radiology physician practice management company in the country, with more than 3,300 radiologists across all 50 states. RadPartners serves more than 3,250 hospitals and healthcare facilities, and has grown primarily through practice acquisitions. The company was recently downgraded by S&P credit ratings due to its significant debt burden. US Radiology Specialists is another large private-equity backed physician practice management company with more than 400 providers, 180 IDTFs, and more than $800 million in revenue. Outpatient Imaging Affiliates (OIA) is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee and owns and operates IDTFs, many in joint venture arrangement with hospitals. OIA was acquired by Cranemere Group in a transaction valuing the business at $400 million in October of 2021.

As illustrated in Figure 12, there are many benefits to scale in the radiology sector, with larger practices experiencing higher revenue per FTE radiologist, greater hospital contracts per group, and more procedures per FTE physician than smaller practices.[23] Some of the largest radiology transactions in recent years are presented in Figure 13. Mednax, Inc. sold its radiology business, which was one of the largest in the country with approximately $550 million in revenue and $90 million in EBITDA, to RadPartners in 2020, while Akumina acquired Alliance Health Services in 2021.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 13

Another important factor driving consolidation in the imaging sector is the growth of value-based payment models, which are more easily implemented by larger groups with access to technological and financial resources. Examples of value-based payment models in the imaging space include capitated payment arrangements whereby radiology groups and/or imaging centers receive a per member, per month (“PMPM”) payment to provide a population with imaging tests. One such arrangement exists between RadNet and EmblemHealth, in which RadNet receives the PMPM payment to manage the outpatient imaging needs of certain EmblemHealth members. Radiology groups can also participate in bundled payments, particularly certain types of surgical procedure bundles involving orthopedic surgery or other specialties where diagnostic imaging is a component of the episode of care.

 VALUATION AND OUTLOOK

Despite some of the headwinds discussed herein such as the challenging reimbursement environment, we expect continued transaction interest in the space, particularly from health systems looking to form joint ventures and private equity groups. Several factors point toward positive growth in the industry, including the strong healthcare utilization trends which emerged in 2023. IBISWorld estimates 2.4 percent annual revenue growth for the industry from 2023 through 2028[25], and analysts covering RadNet forecast revenue growth and margin expansion through 2025.[26] As noted earlier, RadNet is expanding capacity to meet the strong demand it is experiencing in its markets. Analyst estimates for RadNet’s future financial performance are presented in Figure 14.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 14

As discussed earlier, valuations throughout the healthcare industry have come down from the high levels of 2021, which is helping to bring certain buyers back into the market. RadNet has discussed how competition from private equity firms willing to pay double digit multiples has kept it out of the market in recent years. The company has previously indicated that it pays mid-single digit valuation multiples for smaller acquisitions in its local markets, which is similar to what we typically observe in the space. Now that multiples have come down, the company may be more active in its M&A strategy. RadNet’s enterprise value to trailing 12-month EBITDA multiples are presented in the figure below.

2024 Outlook - Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices Fig 15

We believe 2024 and beyond will represent a continuation of many of themes discussed herein. Volumes are expected to continue to shift to non-hospital settings, which will likely drive increased interest in joint venture activity between hospitals and radiology groups. AI will become a larger component of radiology groups with scale on both the clinical and administrative side of the business. We also see additional opportunities for radiology providers to participate in various value-based care arrangements including bundled payments and capitated models. Much of the advisory work HealthCare Appraisers provides in the radiology space involves structuring joint ventures between imaging center operators, physician groups, and hospitals or health systems. Within this space, we are frequently asked to value asset contributions, perform rate lift (black-box) analyses, develop proformas, provide market assessments, and work with providers to enhance operations through benchmarking and compensation plan analyses. As mentioned earlier, we also work closely with hospitals and hospital-based radiology groups to assess appropriate levels of staffing and evaluate RFPs for clinical coverage. HealthCare Appraisers has the experience and insight to provide the necessary advisory and consulting services to meet the needs of your organization in this ever changing market.

CONTACT THE EXPERTS AT HEALTHCARE APPRAISERS TO DISCUSS YOUR ADVISORY AND VALUATION NEEDS REGARDING DIAGNOSTIC IMAGING CENTERS AND RADIOLOGY PRACTICES

[1] RadNet, Inc. Earnings Call on November 9, 2023
[2] RadNet, Inc. Investor Presentation; Accessed January 2, 2024
[3] IBISWorld Reports; Accessed January 2, 2024
[4] Ibid 1
[5] Advisory Board; Scrutiny over hospital imaging prices continues: How you should respond to UHC’s new policy; https://www.advisory.com/research/imaging-performance-partnership/the-reading-room/2018/10/uhc-imaging-policy Accessed January 2, 2024
[6] Health Affairs; https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2014.0168 Accessed January 2, 2024
[7] State Health Compare; https://statehealthcompare.shadac.org/Data; Accessed January 2, 2024
[8] RadNet, Inc. Earnings Call on August 8, 2023
[9] This 40 percent rate is related to services implicated by the site neutral provisions, while the 30 percent referenced in the RadNet quote earlier pertains to all imaging services.
[10] Advisory Board; https://www.advisory.com/blog/2018/08/site-neutral#:%7E:text=Here%E2%80%99s%20 Accessed January 3, 2024
[11] HealthcareDive; https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/anthem-will-no-longer-pay-hospitals-for-outpatient-mris-ct-scans/503706/ Accessed January 3, 2024
[12] Urban Institute; https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/104945/commercial-health-insurance-markups-over-medicare-prices-forphysician- services-vary-widely-by-specialty_0.pdf, Accessed January 10, 2024
[13] Health Affairs; https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/10.1377/hlthaff.2023.00039, Accessed January 10, 2024
[14] Federal Register.gov, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/07/13/2021-14379/requirements-related-to-surprise-billing-part-i, Accessed October 5, 2023
[15] Pediatrix Medical Group Investor Presentation on May 9, 2023
[16] https://restructuring.ra.kroll.com/Envision/; Disclosure Statement for the Joint Chapter 11 Plan of Reorganization of the EVPS Debtors; Last Accessed January 25, 2024
[17] CMS.gov, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/federal-idr-processstatus-update-april-2023.pdf, Accessed October 5, 2023
[18] CMS.gov, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/partial-report-idr-process-octoberdecember-2022.pdf, Accessed October 5, 2023
[19] United States District Court Central District of California; https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.881502/gov.uscourts. cacd.881502.1.0.pdf; Accessed January 11, 2024
[20] Ibid 8
[21] Ibid 8
[22] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2024, January, levinassociates.com , S&P Capital IQ, Company Filings. May not represent complete data on all transactions.
[23] Radiology Business; https://www.radiologybusiness.com/sponsored/1077/topics/leadership/100-largest-private-radiology-practices Accessed January 11, 2024
[24] Irving Levin, S&P Capital IQ, and other publicly available resources
[25] Ibid 2
[26] S&P Capital IQ
[27] Ibid 19

The post 2024 Outlook: Diagnostic Imaging Centers and Radiology Practices appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
2024 Industry Outlook: ENT, Allergy, and Asthma Practices https://healthcareappraisers.com/2024-industry-outlook-ent-allergy-and-asthma-practices/ Tue, 05 Mar 2024 12:59:59 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7344 The post 2024 Industry Outlook: ENT, Allergy, and Asthma Practices appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

Otolaryngology (“ENT”), allergy, and asthma (“ENTA&A”) related medical practices have been enjoying a robust period of investor interest as private-equity backed physician-practice management (“PPM”) companies and health systems have sought to align with providers in this sector. With opportunities for multiple ancillary offerings such as audiology and hearing aid sales, to the ability for ENT physicians to perform outpatient surgeries in an ambulatory surgery center (“ASC”) setting, there will likely be continued investor interest in this sector for years to come. This article discusses the key drivers to transaction activity in the ENTA&A sector, provides insight into the current transaction environment, and outlines the value proposition that different buyers typically bring to a potential transaction.

 ENT SPECIALTY OVERVIEW

ENT physicians can function as generalists or choose to complete additional training in areas of Ear, Nose, Throat, Head and Neck, Thyroid, Sleep, Pediatrics, and Facial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery.[1] Example conditions treated by ENT physicians include:[2]

oragne square Ear Conditions, including ear infections, tinnitus, dizziness, vertigo, hearing loss, ruptured eardrum, otosclerosis, and eustachian tube dysfunction;
oragne square Nose Conditions, including sinusitis, allergies, rhinitis, nosebleeds, postnasal drip, deviated septum, nasal polyps, and nasal tumors;
oragne square Throat Conditions, including sore throat, tonsillitis, laryngitis, swallowing issues, and vocal cord conditions;
oragne square Sleep Disorders, such as snoring and sleep apnea; and
oragne square Tumors of the head and neck, including hemangiomas, salivary gland tumors, oral cancer, oropharyngeal cancer, laryngeal cancer, thyroid cancer, and nasopharyngeal cancer.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 1

 ALLERGY AND ASTHMA SPECIALTY OVERVIEW

Allergy and Asthma physicians are involved in the diagnosis and treatment of certain medical issues and conditions, some of the more common of which are outlined below:[3]

oragne square Asthma and Frequent Cough;
oragne square Hay Fever (Allergic Rhinitis);
oragne square Skin allergies, such as contact dermatitis, eczema, and hives;
oragne square Eye or Food Allergies;
oragne square Anaphylaxis, which results in symptoms such as hives, wheezing, nausea, dizziness, and swelling of the tongue, throat, nose and lips; and
oragne square Sinus Infections.

 TRANSACTION ENVIRONMENT

Figure 2 illustrates annual transaction volume for ENTA&A practices in the United States from 2017 through 2023. We note that the data presented has been sourced from a single transaction database and is not meant to represent total ENTA&A transaction volume, but to serve as a proxy for recent increased transaction activity. We note that most ENTA&A transactions are private and not publicly disclosed.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 2

Transaction activity has increased over the last several years as PPM investors in the sector have increased, and sellers see the valuation proposition of partnering with a management organization or health system. For an independent medical group, the administrative burden, staffing pressures, inflation, and difficult reimbursement environment can all play a factor in a group deciding to partner with a PPM or health system. As outlined in Figure 3, while changes in Medicare reimbursement in the ENTA&A sector were positive in 2021, other recent years were generally flat or negative.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 3

Compensation for ENTA&A physicians has increased at nominal levels in recent years, with an approximate compound annual growth rate of approximately 1.8 percent for the four-year period ended 2022, based on our review of median compensation reported by MGMA[5] for the specialties of Allergy/Immunology and Otorhinolaryngology. Reimbursement from governmental payors that has not kept up with inflation, paired with inflationary pressures on staff wages and supplies expenses that we have observed, are likely the culprits of fairly stagnant compensation levels for ENTA&A physicians in private practice.

Some of the financial and administrative challenges faced by independent practices can result in an opportunity for a health system or PPM partner. While acquisitions in the ENTA&A sector in recent years have started a trend toward industry consolidation, there still appears to be fragmentation in the sector. While the number of otolaryngologists increased approximately 18 percent between 2014 and 2021, the number of practices fell approximately 12 percent during the same period. While a PPM or health system partner can typically assist in addressing burdens associated with items such as negotiating favorable payor contracting, they may also have the experience and expertise to start or expand new ancillary service lines. Ancillary income streams in an ENT practice often includes sources such as those outlined in Figure 4.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 4

Surgery Centers

Surgery Centers can be a notable source of ancillary income for otolaryngologists. Figure 5 depicts EBITDA margins for ASCs based on HealthCare Appraisers’ 2021 ASC Valuation and Benchmarking Survey.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 5

A broad-based trend in healthcare has been a shift in cases from a hospital-based setting to an ASC setting. In the otolaryngology sector, we note that ASCs have been going in-network with payors to perform Inspire sleep apnea cases, which are generally anticipated to be financially lucrative to an ASC on a contribution margin basis. However, given the expensive device cost in performing these procedures, regional differences in Medicare reimbursement may result in profitability challenges in performing these cases in the ASC setting. This topic was discussed at a presentation given by Inspire Medical Systems (NYSE: INSP) at The Stifel 2023 Annual Healthcare Conference:

And the challenge is while Medicare will reimburse fairly in the major cities and primarily in the North here in New York, the ASCs pay very, very well. You get into the south in the Mississippi and Alabama, it can put the ASC into a loss position with Inspire, and that’s going to create a challenge. It all is based on the way that CMS does device-dependent procedures where they discount not only the labor rates, but they discount the material as well, and that’s unfair…. Most ASCs can handle commercial cases, if they have a contract, they have to do individual contracts United, Anthem, Aetna. And once they get them in place, it is a profitable position for the ASC, but it’s difficult for a surgeon to say, I’m going to do all the Medicare at the hospital and now I’m going to take all the private over to my ASC, where it’s profitable.

TIMOTHY HERBET

CEO, INSPIRE MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC.

Hearing Aids

Hearing aids have traditionally been a notable ancillary income source for otolaryngology practices.[6] However, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued a final rule in 2022[7], effective October 17 of that year, which established the ability for consumers to purchase over-the counter (OTC) hearing aids for adults with mild to moderate hearing loss. While some sources suggest the financial impact of this change is still playing out,[8] it highlights an overarching broad trend of federal regulation that continues to impact the delivery of healthcare in the United States, and that practices need to be continually adaptive to this changing environment to avoid potentially negative financial ramifications.

Allergy and Asthma

Another trend we have broadly observed in healthcare post-COVID involves a shift towards patient care that is convenient and cost effective – in their homes. In the allergy and asthma sector, we have observed a shift in the administration of biologics to treat severe asthma from the office to the home setting.[9]

Additionally, we note increasing instances of asthma in the United States. The Centers for Disease Control reported that the percent of the U.S. population with asthma has increased from 7.4 percent, or approximately 20.3 million people in 2001, to 7.7 percent of the population, or approximately 25.0 million people, in 2021.[10] Impacts of seasonal allergies are also on the rise. A study spanning 1990 to 2018 found that pollen seasons are starting 20 days earlier, and lasting 10 days longer, and feature a 21 percent increase in the amount of pollen.[11] Overall, nearly one in three U.S. adults and more than one in four U.S. children reported having a seasonal allergy, eczema, or food allergy in 2021.[12]

 VALUATION MULTIPLES

PPM acquisition multiples of medical practices can vary greatly, with factors such as size of the group, location, ancillary offerings in place, and growth outlook being a few of the factors that can impact transaction consideration. Based on our experience observing closed PPM transactions, in many instances, small to mid-size groups are likely to attract EBITDA multiples in the mid-to-high single digits, with large, platform acquisitions commanding double digit multiples, as displayed via the examples in Figure 6.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 6

Health system transactions tend to differ from PPMs in that health systems typically focus their offers on employment contract compensation, as compared to the levels of upfront transaction consideration offered by PPMs. Some notable transactions in the ENTA&A space over the last year are presented in Figure 7.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 7

Major active PPM companies presently have operations in several areas of the United States as shown in Figure 8.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 8

How Different Buyers Approach Transactions

Based on our involvement with physician practice transactions involving private equity-backed PPMs, a common strategy involves the owner physicians of the target practice agreeing to take a “scrape” (i.e., pay cut) post transaction, which increases EBITDA on an adjusted basis, and, in turn, purchase price. Figure 9 depicts an example of a scrape and the coinciding purchase price in a hypothetical transaction.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 9

Under this transaction approach, physicians sacrifice annual compensation in exchange for a higher upfront purchase price. We note that a portion of the upfront purchase price is typically paid as rollover equity in the post-transaction business, which typically ranges from 20 to 40 percent of the total purchase consideration. The provision of rollover equity incentivizes the physician group to stay engaged post transaction as a second lucrative payment can be achieved should the PPM sell the medical group for a high exit multiple. These higher exit multiples can be achieved through organic growth and the PPM’s willingness to invest in the addition of ancillary services (ASCs, OBLs, etc.) post transaction. Many smaller physician groups lack the capital needed to build and develop these ancillary services on their own, which motivates them to enter into an agreement with a PPM. Physician involvement in a transaction with a PPM does carry risk, as the rollover equity could potentially decrease in value depending on how the PPM is able to execute both on its ability to roll-up additional ENTA&A medical groups into its PPM, as well as its ability to grow the revenue and/or profitability of the groups that comprise the PPM. Rollover equity is another item that makes it difficult to compare a PPM transaction to a health system transaction.

We note that physicians do not solely inherit risk by partnering with PPMs. A PPM typically manages all of the non-clinical administrative work post transaction, which allows the physicians to focus on providing the best care possible for their patients without the burden of managing the business aspects of a medical practice. The ability to leverage the C-suite of a PPM can allow a practice to grow in ways that many would not be able to achieve on their own.

Conversely, health systems tend to approach physician groups with lower upfront purchase prices but higher ongoing compensation packages. Based on the health systems we have worked with, posttransaction compensation tends to be tied to productivity (typically a compensation per wRVU metric), which rewards physicians for high productivity and motivates them to continue building their practices. The dynamics vary depending on the physician group’s compensation pre transaction, with some health system transactions still commanding upfront purchase prices above tangible asset value as the target physician groups historically were compensated at high levels. Another important item to note is that the compensation health systems pay the physicians post transaction must be consistent with fair market value (“FMV”). Should the target physician group already have high compensation levels, the health system may be constrained by FMV and not be able to provide a higher compensation package. In many instances, this is the result of practices in which there are many employed physicians, Advanced Practice Providers, and in-office ancillary services, allowing owner physicians to earn high levels of compensation compared to peers producing at similar levels of personally performed services. Figure 10 highlights a scenario where a physician group receives a higher compensation package, while Figure 11 highlights a scenario where FMV constrains the ability of the health system to increase compensation post transaction.

2024 Industry Outlook - ENT, Allergy, and Asthmas Practices Fig 10 and 11

As highlighted in the figures, purchase price and post-transaction compensation are inversely related. Transactions involving health systems typically leave the physician group with different risk than transactions involving PPMs. While there is uncertainty surrounding the future value of rollover equity and achieving of income repair in a PPM transaction, uncertainty surrounding the future compensation levels under an employment contract, which are typically governed by what compensation level is FMV, can be a risk factor under a health system transaction.

Potential Impacts of FTC Proposal to Ban Non-Compete Agreements

On January 5, 2023, the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) proposed a rule that would ban noncompete agreements if enacted. If put into effect, employers would be barred from entering into future noncompetes with employees and all noncompete agreements currently in effect would be disbanded. The major exception to this proposed rule is that transactional noncompete agreements would still be allowed for those who own a 25 percent or greater interest in the subject business of the transaction.[14] We also note that this is only a proposed rule by the FTC that will need to go through a commentary and review process. Following the commentary and review process, a majority vote of the FTC commissioners will be needed to finalize the rule. Even after going final, there is the potential for legal challenge that could delay or block the enactment of the rule. The vote has already been delayed, pushed to an April 2024 date. Ultimately, the impact on how this potential new rule may impact acquisition activity of ENTA&A medical practices is uncertain. However, one could speculate that the absence of enforceable noncompete agreements for physicians in medical practice transactions may result in transactions involving more payback provisions, earnouts tied to achieving certain operational and/or employment milestones, and/or other deferred retention and incentive plans tied to certain post-transaction metrics.

 CONCLUSION

The ENTA&A space should continue to enjoy a strong demand for services, and consolidation in the industry should likewise continue. While we note the rising interest rates in 2023 have been a headwind for transaction activity in general, the future appears positive for acquisition activity to rebound, as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates several times in 2024.[15] A transaction has the opportunity to be mutually beneficial for both the physician sellers, as well as a PPM or health system acquirer. As sellers, physicians can shift their focus from the administrative burdens of managing a practice, to clinical care of their patients. Meanwhile, PPMs and health systems can use their size and administrative expertise to help alleviate the burdens of practice management and capital investment decision making.

CONTACT THE EXPERTS AT HEALTHCARE APPRAISERS TO DISCUSS YOUR ADVISORY AND VALUATION NEEDS REGARDING ANY CONTEMPLATED ACTIVITY IN THE ENTA&A SPACE.

NICHOLAS J. JANIGA, ASA
PARTNER
(303) 566-3173
NJANIGA@HCFMV.COM

MATTHEW MULLER, ASA
DIRECTOR
(303) 566-3179
MMULLER@HCFMV.COM

[1] Obtained from https://www.enthealth.org/whats-an-ent/ Last accessed February 3, 2024
[2] Obtained from: https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/articles/24635-otolaryngologist Last accessed February 3, 2024
[3] Obtained from https://acaai.org/do-you-need-an-allergist/what-does-an-allergist-treat/ Last accessed February 3, 2024
[4] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2024, January, levinassociates.com.
[5] Obtained from DataDive by Medical Group Management Association
[6] Obtained from: https://www.entnet.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/2022-Otolaryngology-Workforce.pdf Last accessed February 3, 2024
[7] Obtained from: https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2022/08/17/2022-17230/medical-devices-ear-nose-and-throat-devices-establishingover-the-counter-hearing-aids Last accessed February 3, 2024
[8] Obtained from: https://www.medpagetoday.com/surgery/otolaryngology/104711 Last accessed February 3, 2024
[9] Obtained from: https://www.managedhealthcareexecutive.com/view/several-biologics-to-treat-severe-asthma-can-be-self-administered-at-homepatients-prefer-it Last accessed February 3, 2024
[10] Obtained from: https://www.cdc.gov/asthma/asthma-prevalence-us-2023-508.pdf Last accessed on February 3, 2024
[11] Obtained from: https://www.nifa.usda.gov/about-nifa/impacts/yes-allergy-seasons-are-getting-worse blame-climate-change Last accessed February 3, 2024
[12] Obtained from https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/20220126.htm Last accessed February 3, 2024
[13] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2024, January, levinassociates.com.
[14] University of Maryland Francis King Carey School of Law, “The FTC’s New Noncompete Proposal: A Potential Win for Workers and Possible Mass Changeover Across All Industries?” Last accessed February 3, 2024, https://www.law.umaryland.edu/content/articles/name-659569-en.html
[15] Obtained from: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/13/fed-interest-rate-decision-december-2023.html Last accessed February 3, 2024

The post 2024 Industry Outlook: ENT, Allergy, and Asthma Practices appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
Navigating Healthcare Transactions: Lessons from a Case Study https://healthcareappraisers.com/navigating-healthcare-transactions-lessons-from-a-case-study/ Tue, 13 Feb 2024 07:26:00 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7316 The post Navigating Healthcare Transactions: Lessons from a Case Study appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

 BACKGROUND AND DESCRIPTION OF HIGHLIGHTED CASE

In 2013, a health system (the “Health System”) initiated discussions with an ambulatory surgery center (“Center”) regarding a contemplated transaction wherein the Health System would acquire the assets of Center from 16 owner physicians (“Physician Owners”). During these discussions, the Health System’s CFO (“Relator”) performed a high-level business valuation of Center, arriving at a conclusion of value ranging from $8,000,000 to $10,000,000 for the assets of Center. On December 31, 2014, the Health System reached an agreement to purchase Center’s assets for $25,120,000 based on a fair market value (“FMV”) opinion obtained from an accounting firm (the “FMV Opinion”). The transaction closed on March 31, 2015. Relator, who at the time of the transaction closing date was no longer employed by the Health System, learned of the transaction and later filed a qui tam action against the Health System, alleging that the Health System violated the False Claims Act (“FCA”) and the federal Anti-Kickback Statute (“AKS”) by paying above FMV to induce future patient referrals. Based on a decision reached in 2022 on defendant’s motion for summary judgement, we have outlined several areas in which healthcare market participants should be careful in order to avoid transaction pitfalls and costly litigation.[1] In this article, we take a deep dive into how the FMV Opinion was scrutinized during this case and highlight proper methodologies that can be applied to ensure FMV opinions do not misstate FMV. The main criticisms made against the FMV Opinion include not considering key data items that would reduce the value of the appraisal if utilized, unsupportable case volume assumptions that lacked a reasonableness check, certain operating expenses not being accounted for in the projections, deteriorating financial performance after the valuation date, and not obtaining a final version of the report. We have encountered some of these same pitfalls when reviewing other appraisals across various transactional circumstances.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 1

 VALUATION PITFALLS

Capital Expenditure Assumptions

One criticism involved Relator claiming that the FMV Opinion’s capital expenditure (“Capex”) assumptions were understated in the valuation. Specifically, Relator indicated that the FMV Opinion assumed $900,000 in aggregate Capex over a six-year period within the projections. Relator also highlighted that the Physician Owners of Center specified during the valuation process that approximately $1,948,000 in Capex would be incurred shortly after the contemplated transaction. The Capex figure provided by the Physician Owners is substantially higher than what was assumed in the FMV Opinion, and had the FMV Opinion relied upon the Physician Owners’ representation, the FMV Opinion would have arrived at a lower conclusion of value (all else equal).

While assumptions and information provided by management of the target entity should always be confirmed by due diligence, it is important to take this information into consideration and have substantial support when deviating from management representations within the valuation. Regardless of whether or not management provides insight into the anticipated Capex needs of the subject entity, there are numerous methodologies that should be utilized in conjunction with each other to support a Capex assumption.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 2

One process that should always be taken is analyzing the gross fixed assets held by the target entity as well as the useful life of the fixed assets in order to ensure the business is maintaining an adequate amount of capital equipment throughout the projection period. For businesses where high revenue growth is expected, an appraiser would likely need to account for Capex for new fixed assets in addition to maintenance Capex. Specific consideration should be made for what new equipment will be needed if an ASC is expected to add additional service lines. For instance, the ASC may need to acquire robotics equipment or patient positioning devices if they are expected to begin performing total joint replacement cases. Additionally, valuators should analyze various financial metrics such as Capex per operating room and Capex as a percentage of gross fixed assets to ensure reasonability of the projections. Fixed asset and Capex data can also be gathered from comparable, publicly traded companies and measured against revenue, volume, operating and procedure rooms, or other metrics to assist in forecasting similar levels of Capex for a scaled down business. HealthCare Appraisers has a capital asset team that specializes in capital asset planning and valuation, and advises on complex fixed asset and capex related needs.

Case Volume Projections

Relator claimed that the FMV Opinion included increases in case volume in the projections when the Health System was expecting Center’s volume to decline. Additionally, Relator claimed that the projections did not consider whether Center had the operating room capacity to perform the projected case volumes. During the appraisal process, it is important to gain insight into expectations for future revenue and volume growth. This insight should be gathered from the subject company, the acquiring company (if they have strong knowledge of the local market), and from independent research and due diligence regarding the market. When an appraiser is gathering this insight, they must be aware of the various stakeholders and their respective interests in the contemplated transaction if they are providing information that will be utilized in a forecast.

There are various ways to assess reasonability of input received regarding revenue or volume expectations. An appraiser should make themselves knowledgeable of the local market by performing research into the level of competition the subject company faces, and by reviewing census data on the serviceable area, including historical population growth, household income data, and the age dispersion of the community. It could be a major red flag for an appraiser to forecast double digit growth for an ASC in a community that has shown a significant decline in its population historically. However, in some circumstances, population decline might not have an immediate impact on case volumes at an ASC, depending on the population demographics of the serviceable market. For instance, markets with a high population of baby boomers may have higher surgeries per capita due to the needs of this particular population segment.

In addition to the serviceable market of the target business, consideration should be given to a subject entity’s capacity to meet the revenue or volume growth that is being projected. Certain metrics can be utilized to perform this reality check. Specific to ASCs, benchmark data can be analyzed for case volume per operating room per day (or per hour) to ensure that the projected case volume is reasonable, such as HealthCare Appraisers’ ASC Valuation & Benchmarking Survey. Certain states also publicly release cost report data for ASCs. Figure 3 displays a sample analysis of cost report data published by select states including California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, and Virginia.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 3

Medicare time study data can also be utilized to understand the time required to perform the projected case mix, being mindful of the operating hours of the subject business. Lastly, an appraiser should benchmark the projected productivity on a per physician basis to verify that the target business has an adequate number of providers to achieve the projected performance.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 4.1

Management Fees

Relator claimed that the FMV Opinion failed to include management fee expenses in the projections even though management fees were expected to be paid post-transaction. From our experience, it is common for ASCs to pay a third-party or related party for management services. When valuing an entity that is expected to incur these expenses going forward, it is important to properly project this expense and ensure the management fees are in line with market norms. We commonly observe management fees structured as flat dollar amounts, percentage of net revenue, or another activity-based fee based on a relevant operational metric. For businesses that are expected to experience changes in revenue going forward, projecting management fees as a percentage of revenue may be preferred. However, we note that some state laws restrict management fee payments from being structured as a percentage of revenue. When utilizing a percentage of revenue, the fees could be set ahead of time based on a budget and paid as a fixed annual payment. Additionally, to ensure the projected management fees are in line with the market, benchmark data should be utilized. An appraiser can gather this data by analyzing publicly available form 990 data for management fees or utilizing third party resources such as surveys from Medical Group Management Association or HealthCare Appraisers’ most recent ASC Valuation & Benchmarking Survey, data for which is depicted in Figure 5.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 5

Subsequent Events Between Valuation Date and Closing Date

Another issue brought up by Relator was that the FMV Opinion utilized a valuation date of September 9, 2014 although the transaction closed on March 31, 2015. Between the valuation date and the closing date, Center had deteriorating financial performance, which was not taken into account in the FMV Opinion. From our experience, business transactions are typically a lengthy process where negotiations and revisions of purchase documents typically occur once an appraisal has been completed. Therefore, it is not uncommon for the valuation date of an appraisal to precede the actual transaction closing date. However, the parties involved in the transaction need to ensure that financial performance has not changed materially between the valuation date and the closing date. Should a situation arise wherein the target business has experienced a subsequent event and/or material changes to its financial and operational performance (or expected performance) after the valuation date, the appraiser should request the required information to update their valuation and roll the valuation date forward (see example pertinent subsequent events outlined in Figure 6). Otherwise, their opinion may not represent FMV at the transaction closing date.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 6

Draft versus Final Version of FMV Opinion

Lastly, Relator highlighted that the FMV Opinion was in draft form and that no final version of the FMV Opinion was made available. It is important to finalize all transaction documents when a transaction closes to ensure there are no outstanding issues with the appraisal. This also creates an opportunity to ensure no subsequent events have occurred between the valuation date and transaction closing date.

 CONCLUSION

Relator highlighted many relevant pitfalls in the FMV Opinion, including unsupported capital expenditure assumptions, case volume projections that were inadequately supported, management fees not being properly accounted for, deteriorating performance between the valuation date and transaction closing date, and the FMV Opinion not being finalized. It is vital for an appraiser to ensure all assumptions utilized in an appraisal are supportable and best reflect the future operating capacity of the subject business. Failing to produce adequate support for valuation work product can create litigation risk, lead to substantial fines and penalties for the parties involved in the transaction, and tarnish the credibility and reputation of all involved (including the appraiser).

At HealthCare Appraisers, we pride ourselves in providing credible, defensible, independent appraisals in the healthcare industry through our strong knowledge off valuation and advisory issues surrounding healthcare transactions. Even if we do not provide the initial opinion of value, we regularly provide appraisal review and litigation support services to assist clients in assessing if FMV opinions can be relied upon in connection with a transaction. Figure 7 displays a graphic we commonly utilize when performing appraisal reviews. We have utilized the issues present in the FMV Opinion and how they lead to an overstatement of FMV to illustrate the sample figure.

Navigating Healthcare Transactions - Lessons from a Case Study Figure 7

[1] United States District Court for the District of Arizona Case, 3:18-cv-08041-DGC, https://www.govinfo. gov/content/pkg/USCOURTS-azd-3_18-cv-08041/pdf/USCOURTS-azd-3_18-cv-08041-2.pdf

The post Navigating Healthcare Transactions: Lessons from a Case Study appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
Healthcare Joint Ventures: Know the Value of Your Assets https://healthcareappraisers.com/healthcare-joint-ventures-know-the-value-of-your-assets/ Thu, 16 Nov 2023 19:31:50 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7124 The post Healthcare Joint Ventures: Know the Value of Your Assets appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

The healthcare industry is an economic sector that is constantly facing unique challenges. The industry is highly regulated with rules that frequently shift in a manner that diverts clinical resources away from patient care and often place downward pressure on reimbursement.[1] Economic forces also have a significant impact within the industry. An aging population will bring about higher demand for healthcare services in the coming years which will be coupled with a declining labor force. Therefore, innovative solutions will be required to meet increased demand with fewer medical professionals.[2] Rising labor costs and other inflationary pressures also threaten to lower profitability in the near future. As companies in the industry attempt to navigate this challenging environment, they often find that it is difficult to succeed alone. A common strategy implemented to overcome these challenges involves the formation of joint ventures. This strategy allows two or more companies to collaborate to achieve common goals that would be more difficult for each entity to execute on their own.

 WHY DO HEALTHCARE COMPANIES CREATE JOINT VENTURES?

Oftentimes, complete business combinations or acquisitions do not create the most ideal outcomes. Some segments of each business may complement each other very well while others could create unnecessary and overly burdensome complications. Instead of combining whole businesses, joint ventures allow portions of two businesses to be combined and jointly operated much more effectively. For example, one healthcare company’s established service line could be combined with the underutilized assets of another healthcare business more efficiently than if the businesses spent the time and effort building out the missing pieces on their own.

 WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS OF JOINT VENTURES IN THE HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY?

Joint ventures offer many benefits that can either be difficult to achieve or require long lead times if the companies continued to operate on their own. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) identifies a number of benefits that joint ventures offer in the following excerpt found within their definition of a joint venture:

The purpose of a corporate joint venture frequently is to share risks and rewards in developing a new market, product or technology; to combine complementary technological knowledge; or to pool resources in developing production or other facilities.[3]

While the FASB definition identifies a few of the general benefits, there are many other advantages that companies consider. Figure 1 outlines select benefits that are often the focal point of joint venture agreements in the healthcare industry.

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 1

Joint venture arrangements have the potential to offer participants the opportunity to reduce their risk while simultaneously realizing an increase in economic benefits. We have observed that healthcare companies can enter into new markets more effectively by setting up a joint venture with an established entity in the market, rather than entering unaided. When a new market participant enters into a joint venture with an established health system or other similarly situated entity, both parties have the potential to see greater benefits from working together. The new entrant typically benefits from the use of the established firm’s existing operations or assets in place, such as a tradename. The established business generally benefits from the new market participant’s value proposition such as high patient satisfaction scores, superior health outcomes, and managerial expertise.

In other situations, there are resources in the market that are either underutilized, or that perform inefficiently when operated separately from other complimentary resources. For example, hospitals are capital intensive entities that may need to acquire and maintain costly assets or services, even if it has a low utilization rate. Conversely, a local practice in the market may have demand for services that require the use of these assets or services, but the practice may not have the resources to acquire the assets and provide the services on their own, or they may not have sufficient demand to justify the investment. By entering into a joint venture, the hospital can increase its return on assets while the local practice can benefit by serving more patients. Alternatively, companies can enter into block lease arrangements, which enables two different entities to effectively collaborate and leverage a single asset base and service location rather than directly and inefficiently competing in the market.

In addition to combining resources, joint ventures can allow companies to pool expertise in a way that would take significant investment in terms of both time and funding. Human capital represents a large portion of spending in the healthcare industry as shown in Figure 2, and the ability to combine this resource can have sigificant results. For example, physician groups often partner with management services organinzations which reduce the administrative burden on providers. This has the potential to improve health outcomes, and both patient and physician satisfaction, as providers are able to better focus on their practice.

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 2

The benefit of partnering with organizations with administrative expertise extends to most joint venture situations, especially if one partner operates a service line that is unfamiliar to the other. The operational requirements, financial barriers, licenses and certificates of need, regulations, and many other considerations could take a significant amount of time to understand and integrate if an organization were to expand from the ground up.

Joint ventures also allow for greater flexibility than traditional business combinations since nearly all joint venture contracts have exit agreements in place.[4] If the joint venture does not perform to either party’s minimum expectations, either entity may have the option to exit. While there may be a variety of costs associated with the exit, the costs of leaving a joint venture often are less than the costs of more traditional business combination failures.

 JOINT VENTURE STRUCTURES AND VALUATION IMPLICATIONS IN THE HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY

A joint venture is a separate legal entity owned and operated by two or more contributing entities and can take on many legal structures.[5] Figure 3 demonstrates an example of the basic structure of a joint venture formed by two companies.

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 3

The structure of the joint venture has the potential to impact the valuation of each entity’s contribution, and these structures are frequently more complicated than the example displayed in Figure 3. There are situations where one entity contributes less than fifty percent of value of the joint venture for a wide variety of reasons. For example, Company 1 may contribute significantly more assets of value to the joint venture than Company 2, and rather than contribute cash to bring their contribution value up to 50 percent, Company 2 may instead hold a noncontrolling position in the joint venture.

 WHICH HEALTHCARE COMPANIES ENGAGE IN JOINT VENTURES?

A considerable number of the joint ventures we observe involve hospitals and health systems due to a variety of market and regulatory pressures that incentivize health systems to seek out partnerships within the industry. These entities typically have tight operating margins due to the competitive nature of the industry, restrictions placed upon tax-exempt organizations under the tax code, and requirements to provide emergency services regardless of ability to pay under the Emergency Medical Treatment & Labor Act (EMTALA). By entering into joint ventures, hospitals and health systems can benefit financially and better fulfill their mission. Figure 4 outlines some of the common entities that hospitals partner with.

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 4

While hospitals and health systems often have the most incentive to enter into joint ventures and similar agreements with other healthcare providers, there are many other cases and situations where joint ventures can be advantageous. Other examples include:

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 5

 JOINT VENTURE EXAMPLES

Imaging Center – A for-profit operator of diagnostic imaging centers, and a hospital, entered into a joint venture arrangement to address an industry-wide trend of payors actively redirecting patient volume from inpatient to outpatient settings. The for-profit operator contributed its existing freestanding imaging center operating business, which included imaging equipment, and its expertise in operating an efficient outpatient center. The hospital contributed its tradename, and its existing imaging business service line. The fair market value of these assets served to determine each entity’s respective ownership interest in the newly formed joint venture.

This example underscores an astute strategy that effectively addresses the industry trend of downward pressure on healthcare spending and payors redirecting patients to independent diagnostic testing facilities (IDTFs) and other outpatient healthcare providers and facilities. Emphasizing partnerships in the medical imaging sector, RadNet’s VP & CFO stated on a 2023 investor presentation: “More forwardthinking hospitals are looking for a strategy that gives a long-term viability in diagnostic imaging and one of those strategies is to partner with an outpatient player [that already have] assets or has the expertise to run outpatient centers efficiently.”

Physical Therapy – A for-profit operator of physical therapy centers and a non-profit health system entered into an arrangement to collaborate on providing physical therapy services in a shared service area. Each entity had several existing physical therapy centers that were contributed to the joint venture, which helped determine the initial ownership interest split of the two partners.

As the partners desired to split ownership such that each partner held a 50 percent ownership interest, a cash contribution occurred to supplement the entity whose operating business contribution was valued at an amount less than that of the other partner. The for-profit entity planned to provide management services to the joint venture on a go-forward basis as well. The joint venture planned to continue to open de novo locations in the future, leveraging each respective operating partners’ valued-added strengths to make the entity stronger, and more profitable, than the entities were when the parties competed. The combined portfolio of locations allowed for greater operating flexibility as well, such as the ability to flex certain staff members at different locations.

Joint Operating Agreement/Virtual Merger – Two health systems entered into an agreement to enhance musculoskeletal services in their community. By entering into a joint operating agreement, each party retained legal ownership of their respective service line assets, while allowing them to share financial risk as well as financial capital. This aligned their respective organizations to improve the quality of care in their community through increased efficiency, shared technology, and clinical integration between the parties.

Through the joint operating agreement, the parties shared in the profit and loss of the combined musculoskeletal joint operating company. When setting up the joint operating agreement, the parties determined the relative contribution of each party in order to determine the split of profit (or loss) shared by each entity going forward.

Behavioral Health Hospital – A for-profit hospital operator and a non-profit health system entered into a joint venture arrangement to improve behavioral healthcare in a community. The non-profit health system contributed its existing inpatient behavioral health service line operations to the joint venture, including intangible assets associated with the service line, such as its tradename, certificate of need, and other licensures. Vacant land was also contributed to the joint venture by the non-profit system. The appraised value of these tangible and intangible assets helped determine the health system’s initial ownership interest in the joint venture. The contribution of the for-profit health system consisted primarily of cash to fund the building of a new inpatient facility, purchase of new equipment, and initial net working capital. However, the for-profit partner also planned to contribute valuable management services to the joint venture post-transaction.

This example highlights a success story in which each party to the joint venture contributed various tangible assets, intangible assets, cash consideration, and services to improve healthcare in a community. This outcome would have been financially and operationally more difficult without a partner. Highlighting joint ventures in the behavioral health sector, Universal Health Services’ CFO indicated on a 2022 earnings call: “We think that the opportunity to joint venture with some acute care hospitals and probably even more importantly, some acute care hospital systems to offer behavioral services is a significant opportunity over the next 5 or 7 years.” For more in-depth information on Behavioral Health, read: Behavioral Healthcare: Public Company Commentary, Outlook, and Trends – Summer 2023

 POTENTIAL REGULATORY ISSUES TO CONSIDER

While there are several benefits associated with setting up a joint venture arrangement, there are also regulatory issues to consider. Many of these are considered regularly throughout the normal course of business in the healthcare industry; however, joint venture agreements have the potential to add a layer of complexity.

Tax Implications
Many hospitals and health systems that have obtained tax-exempt status operate on tight margins or even budget deficits and have limited resources to expand and take advantage of growth opportunities. Historically, tax exempt bonds have been among the most attractive sources of financing with the lowest cost; however, these bonds come with a variety of restrictions. Joint ventures provide an alternative source of financing that not only provide capital but can more directly lead to growth and superior patient outcomes. Therefore, entering into a joint venture with a for-profit entity is an attractive strategy to fill in budgetary gaps while furthering the organization’s mission.

Referrals
Many of the joint ventures in the healthcare industry are created between referral sources and competitors. In these situations, it is essential to ensure and maintain compliance with the Physician Self-Referral Law (aka Stark Law) and the Anti-Kickback Statute. The Office of the Inspector General summarizes these laws as outlined herein.[6]

Physician Self-Referral Law
Prohibits physicians from referring patients to receive “designated health services” payable by Medicare or Medicaid from entities with which the physician or an immediate family member has a financial relationship, unless an exception applies.

Anti-kickback Statute (AKS)
The AKS is a criminal law that prohibits the knowing and willful payment of “remuneration” to induce or reward patient referrals or the generation of business involving any item or service payable by the Federal health care programs.

It is essential to be in compliance with these laws when entering into a joint venture. The best way to ensure compliance is to obtain fair market value and commercial reasonableness opinions that are independent and defensible.

 VALUING JOINT VENTURE CONTRIBUTIONS

Contributions to a joint venture can take many forms. Cash is certainly the most straight-forward item that can be contributed to a joint venture, but other items such as tangible and intangible asset contributions may need to be appraised. Physical assets, such as medical equipment, are another item that is commonly contributed, particularly by hospitals, imaging centers, and other capital-intensive healthcare businesses. We often value these physical assets under a market approach and/or cost approach to determine their fair market value.

An existing operating business or service line can be contributed to a joint venture as well. A service line is a component of a larger business enterprise operation. It is important to be aware of the level of financial reporting of the subject service line when reviewing its income statements in connection with the valuation. For example, some service lines only report revenue and direct expenses of the service line, thus excluding other indirect operating expenses. Conversely, some service lines may report a substantial corporate overhead allocation expense in their income statements to account for indirect expenses attributable to the service line and/or health system. When valuing a service line, particularly under an income or market approach, it is important to closely understand the service line’s financial statements.

Intangible contributions are common contributions to joint ventures. Figure 6 illustrates the effect of a hospital’s intangible asset contribution to a joint venture with a physician practice. The hospital agrees to contribute cash and the use of its tradename while the physician group agrees to contribute its services. The tradename could have significant value depending on a variety of factors. The value of the parties’ contributions should balance and the value of cash should offset the value of the other assets being contributed by the investing entity, assuming a desired 50/50 ownership split. Failure to properly value the tradename could result in the hospital contributing more (or less) cash than is necessary to achieve a particular ownership split between the parties.

Healthcare Joint Ventures - Know the Value of Your Assets Figure 6

Other intangible assets could include those such as licenses (such as a Certificate of Need) and medical data. Certificates of Need are required in many states to operate a variety of healthcare entities and can be the primary reason a joint venture is established. Certain groups entering into a joint venture may have valuable clinical data that could be contributed to the joint venture. These are just a few examples of the many intangible assets that are often contributed to joint ventures in the healthcare industry. For a more in-depth discussion, read Intangible Assets in Healthcare. Intangible assets can be valued using cost, income or market approaches, or a combination of these three approaches.

 CONCLUSION

We have consulted numerous companies on creative and sophisticated joint venture arrangements in the healthcare industry. Economic concerns and the regulatory environment are certainly driving factors that will continue to incentivize decision makers in the healthcare industry to engage in these arrangements. There are a wide variety of assets that can be contributed to joint ventures and the accurate valuation of these contributions is essential to ensure that the interests of all parties involved are properly allocated. If you are considering engaging in a joint venture, contact the experts at HealthCare Appraisers for advisory and valuation solutions surrounding your transaction.

For more information, please contact:

Landon Forsythe, Analyst at lforsythe@hcfmv.com or (303) 276-3324
Matthew Muller, ASA, Director at mmuller@hcfmv.com or (303) 566-3179
Nicholas J. Janiga, ASA, Partner at njaniga@hcfmv.com or (303) 566-3173

[1] Regulatory Overload: Assessing the Regulatory Burden on Health Systems, Hospitals, and Post-acute Care Providers. American Hospital Association. October 2017
[2] Barrueta, A (2023). Hiring alone won’t solve the health care worker shortage. Last accesses October 27, 2023 from: https://about.kaiserpermanente.org/news/hiring-alone-wont-solve-health-care-worker-shortage
[3] ASC 323-10-20. Financial Accounting Standards Board. Last accessed on October 25, 2023 from: https://asc.fasb.org/1943274/2147481813.
[4] Johnson, B. (2016). Exit Playbooks Rather than Just Exit Clauses. Joint Venture Advisory Practice. Last accessed on October 25, 2023 from: https://assets.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2016/07/JointVenture-04.pdf
[5] (2020, November 30). Identifying a Joint Venture. US Equity Method Accounting Guide, 6.2. https://viewpoint.pwc.com/dt/us/en/pwc/accounting_guides/equity_method_of_accounting/Equity_method_account/chapter_6/62_identifying_a_joint.html#pwc-topic.dita_912db7b4-e843-4ebb-847c-d6c43a148a09
[6] Office of the Inspector General (n.d.). Fraud and Abuse Laws. Last accessed October 25, 2023, from: https://oig.hhs.gov/compliance/physician-education/fraud-abuse-laws/

The post Healthcare Joint Ventures: Know the Value of Your Assets appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions https://healthcareappraisers.com/navigating-ambulance-transport-arrangements-and-transactions/ Thu, 09 Nov 2023 16:59:28 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7111 The post Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

 OVERVIEW

Over the years, HealthCare Appraisers has analyzed numerous medical transport arrangements. While it is hard to miss the warning sounds of an approaching ambulance, the fair market value (“FMV”) considerations involved in both medical transport arrangements, as well as the sale of an ambulance and/or medical transport entity, are often overlooked. The discussion herein highlights HealthCare Appraisers’ observations of common medical transport arrangements, the appraisal considerations involved in determining the FMV of an ambulance, and other nuances of such arrangements.

 SOUNDING THE SIRENS

Ambulance Swapping

In recent years, regulators increasingly sounded the sirens over ambulance “swapping” arrangements. Under an ambulance swapping arrangement, a provider of air or ground ambulance services offers its services to healthcare systems and/or facilities at a discount in exchange for the promise, implied or explicit, of more lucrative transports of patients covered by government programs such as Medicaid and Medicare. These types of transport arrangements have the potential to implicate the Physician Self- Referral Law (i.e., Stark Law) and/or Anti-Kickback Statute.

By way of example, in 2015, a nursing home operator settled with the government for over $3 million based on allegations of ambulance swapping.[1] Also in 2015, an ambulance provider settled with the government for more than $11.5 million over similar allegations.[2] More recently, four hospitals in the South paid $8.6 million to settle allegations related to the receipt of kickbacks from medical transport companies in exchange for more lucrative transport referrals. Such rulings have made the government’s stance clear – they will not hesitate to pursue both ambulance companies and the facilities they service. The rulings on these cases underscore the importance to all parties of ensuring compliance with the various state and federal laws and regulations that govern such arrangements.

As was the case with so many healthcare services arrangements, the swift spread of COVID-19 ignited the need for new federal guidance on emergency medical transportation. Around the onset of the pandemic, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) issued new guidance meant to serve as a call to action for hospitals complying with the Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (“EMTALA”). Guidance included commentary on the implementation of emergency medical transports for Medicare beneficiaries effected by COVID-19.[3] While May 11, 2023 marked the end of the federal COVID-19 Public Health Emergency declaration, the speedy shift in emergency medical transportation regulations demonstrated by CMS during the pandemic serve as a prime example of the importance of remaining abreast of current reimbursement guidance as it relates to medical transport services.

No Surprises Act

The No Surprises Act (the “Act”) was signed into law in December 2020 and went into effect on January 1, 2022. The Act was put in place to create new protections for consumers of healthcare services as it relates to receiving surprise medical bills after receiving many emergent and non-emergent services from out-of-network (“OON”) providers at in-network facilities, as well as emergency services from OON air ambulance service providers. While air ambulance services are currently covered under the Act, the guidelines currently in place do not extend to ground ambulance services. While the Act does not broadly cover ground ambulance services, certain states do currently offer a certain level of protection to consumers from surprise billing.[4] States with current protections include, but may not be limited to, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New York, Ohio, Vermont, and West Virginia.[5] While such states provide some level of protection, Figure 1 outlines various categories and considerations in evaluating the varying protections offered on a state-by-state basis:

Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions Figure 1

Given the often OON nature of ground ambulance services, it is certainly plausible that ground ambulance services may one day be included under the Act. In fact, according to a national study published by FAIR Health in September 2023, 59.4 percent of all ground ambulance claims[6] in 2022 were OON.[7] With the recent pushes towards price transparency, it is essential for providers and users of ambulance transport services to remain abreast of such changes and consider how quick changes in the healthcare regulatory environment have the potential to impact their current and future transport arrangements.

 FMV RISK CONSIDERATIONS

Based upon the government’s enforcement trend and in light of the spike in transports related to COVID-19 in recent years, Figure 2 outlines various risk factors to consider when evaluating the FMV compensation payable under either an air or ground ambulance transportation arrangement.

Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions Figure 2

Each of the aforementioned items in Figure 2 may materially impact the FMV compensation associated with an ambulance transport arrangement. HealthCare Appraisers has the knowledge and expertise to properly consider and account for all factors of an ambulance transportation arrangement in arriving at an FMV conclusion.

 CROSSING STATE LINES

In addition to the aforementioned risk considerations, providers and users of ambulance transport services must also remain abreast of state-by-state restrictions related to medical transport services as controlled by the existence of state-based Certificate of Need (“CON”) programs. A CON is a formal permit issued by a state department of health or other regulatory agency that grants a company or organization the ability to provide specific healthcare services. As it relates to medical transport services, restrictions set by CON programs can vary on a state-by-state basis and can impact both intrastate and interstate transports. While the previously discussed risk considerations must be considered when entering into an ambulance transportation arrangement, CONs can add another layer of nuance in states with existing CON programs specifically impacting medical transport services.

By way of example, in 2019, an Ohio-based ambulance services business filed a federal lawsuit[8] in which they made the claim that Kentucky’s CON program arbitrarily prevents certain businesses from providing ambulance services through its restrictions on the issuance of CONs. In late 2022, a U.S. district judge ruled that such regulations were not unfairly restrictive, but rather fairly common across states that restrict new entrants into ground ambulance service areas or require a CON to operate.[9] Also noted in the ruling, within Kentucky, a CON is only required to conduct intrastate transports within the State of Kentucky and for interstate transports of Kentucky residents so long as the transports originates within Kentucky.

While this initial ruling was appealed with arguments from both sides to follow, this case serves as a prime example of the importance of remaining up to date on CON restrictions, as such restrictions can ultimately impact the ability to enter into an ambulance transport arrangement. For more information on CON programs and the factors that can influence the FMV of a CON, please refer to HealthCare Appraisers’ publication Understanding the Value of a Certificate of Need.

 SELLING THE FLEET – MOVING BEYOND THE BLUE BOOK

Should a healthcare organization find itself in a position to sell or buy all or part of a ground ambulance fleet, it is crucial to consider the impact an ambulance’s specifications have on its FMV. Beyond consideration of value differences related to manufacturer and model, additional considerations in valuing an ambulance include, but are not limited to, those outlined in Figure 3 below:

Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions Figure 3

The value of a ground ambulance can be heavily dependent upon the considerations discussed herein. Similar to transport services arrangements, the sales of ambulances also have the potential to implicate the Physician Self-Referral Law and/or Anti-Kickback Statute.

 NAVIGATING AMBULANCE TRANSACTION TRENDS[12]

In addition to the prevalence of used ambulances sales, the medical transport industry continues to see entity transactions driven by a variety of strategic initiatives from varying market participants. In an effort to improve care coordination models, the industry has seen a recent push for the movement of medical transport services in-house. By way of example, Harrison Medical Center purchased Cynthiana, Kentucky based Brown Ambulance Service, Inc. in February 2023. Just a couple years prior, the industry also saw the acquisition of Meriden, Connecticut based transport provider Hunter’s Ambulance Service, Inc. by Hartford HealthCare Corporation in May 2021. Such acquisitions give both small, rural hospitals and large systems the opportunity to implement their own strategies to expand access to care in their communities, while ensuring patients’ choice of care site remains intact.

However, HealthCare Appraisers also observes the consolidation of medical transport companies without the involvement of local hospitals and/or systems. For example, in September 2020, while COVID hospitalizations and the need for emergency medical transport services continued to rise, Pafford Emergency Medical Services, Inc. acquired Medlife Emergency Medical Service, Inc. in order to expand services in Morehouse Parish, Louisiana. More recently, Empress Ambulance Service, Inc. acquired Hurleyville, New York based Sullivan Paramedicine, Inc. d/b/a Mobilemedic EMS in November 2022. As was the case with Empress’ acquisition of Mobilemedic, consolidations within the medical transport space often serve the purpose of assisting existing providers in their response to the needs of their growing patient populations. Such transactions also have the potential to allow providers to expand the types of services they can provide with the acquisition of new technology with advanced capabilities.

Figures 4 and 5 illustrate total annual transaction volume for the medical transport subsector between 2018 and year-to-date October 24, 2023, and provide a breakdown of such transactions by acquirer type. The data presented has been sourced from a single transaction database and is not meant to represent total medical transport transaction volume, but rather to serve as a proxy for the transaction activity in recent years.

Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions Fig 4 & 5

 CONCLUSION

When evaluating the FMV compensation payable under ambulance transportation services arrangements, it is important to consider not only the value of the transport through applications of the market approach and/or cost approach, but all other elements of the arrangement, including, but not limited to, the level of exclusivity, marketplace factors, and use of branding. An inexperienced valuator may not know to look beyond the bumper-to-bumper of the ambulance transportation arrangement when determining FMV, thereby potentially putting an organization at risk of a swapping allegation. Before entering into an arrangement for the provision of medical transportation services, it is also necessary to have a comprehensive understanding of any state-by-state regulations regarding the provision of such services. If your organization finds itself in a position to sell all or part of its ambulance fleet, it is important to recognize the need to consider how each vehicle’s unique specifications can impact value.

HealthCare Appraisers has extensive knowledge on changes in ambulance transportation regulations, state specific medical transportation regulations, and appraisal considerations in valuing ground ambulances and medical transport companies. Professionals across HealthCare Appraisers’ business valuation, compensation valuation, and capital asset teams stand ready to assist in providing your organization with fair market value guidance across the entire spectrum of medical transport valuation needs.

For more information, please contact:

Ciara A. Kerney, Senior Associate at ckerney@hcfmv.com or (303) 628-5280
Hunter A. Wolfel, Director at hwolfel@hcfmv.com or (303) 566-3184
Nicholas J. Janiga, ASA, Partner at njaniga@hcfmv.com or (303) 566-3173

[1] George, Cindy. “Nursing home agrees to pay $3M in ambulance-swapping case.” EMS1.com, https://www.ems1.com/legal/articles/nursing-homeagrees-to-pay-3m-in-ambulance-swapping-case-KxPPvCroKDlFy7cm/. Accessed 9 August 2023.
[2] Adams, Andie. “Ambulance Companies to Pay $11.5M in “Swapping Kickback” Scheme.” NBCSanDiego.com, https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/ambulance-companies-to-pay-115m-in-swapping-kickback-scheme/113875/. Accessed 9 August 2023.
[3] “Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (EMTALA) Requirements and Implications Related to Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).” CMS.gov, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/qso-20-15-emtala-requirements-and-coronavirus-0311-updated-003pdf.pdf-1. Accessed 9 August 2023.
[4] While consumer protections vary by state and ambulance company ownership structure, states with some level of balance bills protection include the following: Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New York, Ohio, Vermont, and West Virginia.
[5] “No Surprises Act Considerations for Ground Ambulance Billing.” MossAdams.com, https://www.mossadams.com/articles/2022/08/no-surprisesact-for-ground-ambulance-billing. Accessed 2 October 2023.
[6] Based on national study of billions of private healthcare claims from FAIR Health’s repository
[7] A Window into Utilization and Cost of Ground Ambulance Services, FAIR Health, Inc., September 2023.
[8] PHILLIP TUESDELL and LEGACY MEDICAL TRANSPORT, LLC, v. ADAM MEIER, in his official capacity as Secretary of the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services; KRISTI PUTNAM and TIMOTHY FEELEY, in their official capacities as Deputy Secretaries of the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services; and STEVEN DAVIS in his official capacity as Inspector General of the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services
[9] Such states include: Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington
[10] Basic Life Support (i.e., BLS)
[11] Advanced Life Support (i.e., ALS)
[12] Transaction data sourced from S&P Capital IQ
[13] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2023, October, levinassociates.com

The post Navigating Ambulance Transport Arrangements and Transactions appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
Industry Insights: Women’s Health in 2023 https://healthcareappraisers.com/industry-insights-womens-health-in-2023/ Sun, 22 Oct 2023 20:31:28 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=7024 The post Industry Insights: Women’s Health in 2023 appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

INTRODUCTION

The women’s health industry has experienced significant growth and transformation in recent decades, driven by demographic and population trends, sociopolitical change, and increased investment interest. Looking ahead, it is crucial to understand the key factors that will shape the future of this growing segment of the healthcare industry. This article provides an overview of some of the influences and drivers within the women’s health segment, highlighting relevant valuation considerations, transaction dynamics, and key trends.

INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

The global women’s health market has grown to an estimated total value of nearly $41.5 billion in 2022, with a forecasted compound annual growth rate of over 5 percent from 2023 through 2030 [1] As government and private payors in the United States lean heavily into value-based care and incentivize a narrowing of gaps in health equity, quality and access, there will be increasing need to fill the white space in funding and research, accommodate broader coverage and meet higher consumer demand. Concurrently, growth in evidence-based research and public discourse surrounding health concerns that disproportionately impact women[2] are attracting clinical, financial and political investment in women’s health around the world. Shifts in life expectancy and demographic control of healthcare dollars are giving rise to a rapidly expanding market that will be dominated by the historically underrepresented and underserved, presenting new opportunities for innovation and meaningful growth. Women’s health is a diverse sector of businesses including multiple specialties, such as obstetrics and gynecology (OB/GYN), fertility, and numerous ancillary services. Over the past several years, hundreds of new companies have entered the women’s health space, with particularly strong growth in the fertility market and complementary service offerings across the continuum of care.[3]

Increasing interest in the fertility subsector is driven in part by a rise in women seeking fertility services. Certain states have implemented mandates (see Figure 1) that require insurance providers to cover fertility services, resulting in reduced overall costs and a significant surge in patient volume. However, there may be growing gaps in coverage due to uncertainty created at the state level by the Dobbs decision. Additionally, many women are choosing to delay pregnancy to later points in life compared to previous generations, leading to increased demand for fertility services. From an investment perspective, interest in fertility businesses is also driven by the potential for developing additional revenue streams through untapped ancillary services such as egg bank donation programs and surrogacy matching. While growth in the sector remains strong, the demand for these services is constrained by a scarcity of Reproductive Endocrinologists and other fertility specialists, highlighting a need for healthcare companies and investors to be forward-thinking about incorporating these providers into their service offerings.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 1

On the OB/GYN side, practices benefit from increasing levels of insurance coverage and reimbursements. Patients are more likely to visit doctors for preventive care when they have health insurance, and a material portion of OB/GYN care is preventive. In 2021, the most recent data available, the Census Bureau reported 91.7 percent of people are covered by public or private health insurance, up 0.3 percentage points from the prior year.[5] However, the OB/GYN industry faces challenges with low reimbursement rates, particularly from Medicare and Medicaid. According to IBISWorld, government payors account for over one-third of total industry revenue in 2022, with the majority of this revenue derived from Medicaid to be approximately 29.6 percent and Medicare accounting for a smaller portion estimated to be 6.0 percent.[6] Changes in Medicare reimbursements for OB/GYNs have historically been modest (see Figure 2).[7]

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 2

A unique aspect of women’s health practices is a high concentration of customers within specific demographic groups and a high concentration of products and services. IBISWorld reports over two-thirds of products and services offered by OB/GYN practices are segmented to preventive care, and less than one-third of services include new problems, chronic problems, and pre- or post-surgery or injury cases. Preventive care offerings include pelvic exams, cancer screenings, prenatal testing, and contraceptive services. While a narrow concentration of services can be seen as a risk, OB/GYN preventive care services benefit from being medically necessary and therefore lead to lower volatility for OB/GYN practices as compared to other healthcare providers.

Figure 3 illustrates the change in general fertility rates in the United States since 1980.[8] The number of births in the United States has declined at an annualized rate of 1.5 percent over the five years to 2022. While this trend does present a challenge to the industry, it also creates opportunities for increased contraceptive care. Common contraceptive measures include prescription oral and implantable contraceptives, both of which require patients to maintain consistent visits with an OB/GYN provider. Implantable contraception in particular comes with a higher initial cost, and many OB/GYN practices are able to generate consistent profits by offering this service.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 3

The women’s health industry has been experiencing a shortage of doctors. According to the Association of American Medical Colleges, from 2016 to 2021, the number of active OB/GYN physicians grew only 0.8 percent to 42,496 OB/GYNs.[9] However, the demand for OB/GYNs has been rising faster than the supply, as reported by the American Congress of Obstetrics and Gynecologists (ACOG). A 2017 report by ACOG estimated that 40 to 75 percent of OB/GYNs experience some form of professional burnout.[10]

While the traditional model for women’s health was that OB/GYNs made an extraordinary commitment to their patients providing pre-natal, delivery, and post-delivery care, today’s OB/GYNs are looking for more stability and work-life balance. This shifting mindset has given rise to the growing use of Obstetric Hospitalists also known as “laborists.” Laborists are OB/GYNs dedicated solely to attending labor and deliveries in the hospital. This approach not only allows OB/GYNs to focus on broader maternal health issues, but but also fosters a more manageable schedule. Another factor is the growing trend of OB/GYNs choosing subspecialties such as gynecologic oncology, reproductive endocrinology and infertility, and female pelvic medicine and reconstructive surgery. While these specialized fields contribute to advancing women’s health, they also contribute to a reduced pool of available OB/GYNs for routine maternal preventive care and normal deliveries.

Furthermore, obstetric physicians face mounting challenges due to the ongoing closures of maternity units across the nation. Since 2011, a staggering 217 hospitals in the United States have closed their labor and delivery departments.[11] The trend shows no signs of stopping, with at least 13 closures announced in the past year alone.[12] In certain markets where hospitals are discontinuing labor and delivery services, the responsibility to bridge the care gap is falling on physician practices.

In this complex landscape of women’s healthcare challenges, payors are becoming increasingly sensitive to the profound impact of social determinants of health (SDOH). These SDOHs not only influence the prevalence of health conditions but also affect women’s access to care and their overall well-being. Addressing these underlying societal factors is essential for achieving equitable healthcare outcomes for women, particularly in the face of ongoing hospital closures and the need for enhanced research efforts. Reimbursement models are evolving to consider socioeconomic status, access to education, employment opportunities, and housing conditions which play pivotal roles in determining women’s health outcomes.

Historically, women’s health has been an under-resourced and underserved area of healthcare. A 2022 study published in the Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology found that only 11 percent of the funding allocated by the National Institutes of Health supported research focused on women’s health.[13] Additionally, McKinsey & Co. reported only 1.0 percent of healthcare research funding, excluding Oncology, is allocated to women’s health conditions.[14] McKinsey & Co. estimates that for every woman officially diagnosed with a women’s health condition, there are roughly four cases that remain undiagnosed. In contrast, the disparity between epidemiological prevalence and documented diagnoses for men’s health conditions narrows down to approximately 1.5 times (see Figure 4). Insufficient research on women’s health persists, despite a compelling need that more evidence-based information would lead to better outcomes.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 4

The financial burden of women’s healthcare is substantial for employers and families. Menopause care alone costs employers $27 billion annually, while maternal morbidity results in $6.6 billion in productivity losses each year. Approximately $80 billion is spent annually on autoimmune condition management for women, who account for 80 percent of all autoimmune disorders. Furthermore, 20 percent of women of reproductive age have multiple chronic conditions, contributing significantly to the nearly $3.15 trillion spent annually on care for chronic conditions.[20]

Investment in physician practices across the entire healthcare spectrum has been on the rise. Notably, medical group deals increased 33 percent from 2021 to 2022.[21] Regarding women’s health in particular, heightened sociocultural factors, expanded coverage, and rising incidence levels have created an attractive investment opportunity in the industry.

KEY TRENDS

Several key trends are shaping the women’s health industry in 2023:

1. Adoption of Value-Based Care: The industry is experiencing a shift towards value-based care arrangements. This transition incentivizes providers to focus on prevention, outcomes, and utilization, leading to higher quality care at a lower cost. Providers are increasingly integrating care models to deliver a comprehensive suite of services, leading to improved patient outcomes and cost savings. Given that 68 percent of the dual eligible population[22] are women, Medicaid and Medicare Advantage value-based offerings will be shaped by the needs of that population. According to a study published by the Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission (MACPAC), a 2020 review of all Medicaid programs found that 41 states implemented programs focused on payment initiatives to improve maternal health. The vast majority of these payment initiatives focused on policies to encourage the use of long-acting reversible contraception (LARC) immediately postpartum, and approximately onethird of the payment initiatives used reductions in payment to discourage certain interventions. Per the study, 14 states implemented pay-for-performance programs that provide financial incentives to providers that meet certain metrics, 10 states have implemented perinatal episode of care models, and four states have implemented pregnancy medical homes (PMH).[23]

Additionally, CMS’s Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) funded a study from 2013 to 2017 called the Strong Start for Mothers and Newborns. The study’s findings, published in 2018, found that women who received prenatal care in Strong Start Birth Centers had better birth outcomes and lower costs relative to similar Medicaid beneficiaries not enrolled in Strong Start. In particular, rates of preterm birth, low birthweight, and cesarean section were lower among Birth Center participants, and costs were more than $2,000 lower per mother-infant pair during birth and the following year. CMS hopes the findings will prove useful to state Medicaid programs seeking to improve the health outcomes of their covered populations.[24] In 2022, the Biden-Harris Maternal Health Blueprint was published, outlining five national priorities to improve maternal health. In support of these priorities, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) awarded over $65 million to HRSA-funded centers to address the maternal mortality crisis.[25]

In addition to these efforts, CMS has recently published new changes aimed at advancing health equity and increasing participation under the Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Realizing Equity, Access, and Community Health (REACH) model.These changes are expected to enhance healthcare for Medicare patients and the model’s financial and operational stability. Currently, 132 participants are enrolled under ACO REACH, a value-based care model that commenced in January this year, replacing the Direct Contracting Model.26 The new model encourages providers to form ACOs for fee-for-service Medicare enrollees and allows providers to take on more financial risk, with participants required to implement health equity plans to address disparities in care.

2. Expansion of Integrated Care Models: Women’s health providers are diversifying their service offerings through strategic expansions into relevant subspecialties. For example, OB/GYN practices have expanded into fertility services, at-home diagnostics, hormonal care, pelvic floor rehabilitation, endometriosis and PCOS care – among other services – capitalizing on the growing demand for fertility services. This trend enables practices to capture new patient volumes, provide care across more of the continuum, and create diversified revenue streams.

3. Maternal-Fetal Medicine Focus: Maternal-Fetal Medicine (“MFM”) has gained increased partnership interest from investors and strategic acquirers. Hospitals are now placing a higher demand on MFM and other subspecialists to staff hospital departments, such as neonatal intensive care units and spearhead integrated care programs. This demand is particularly pronounced in states like Texas, where stringent level-of-care guidelines mandate that MFM physicians must arrive at the patient bedside within 30 minutes for urgent requests.[27] Additionally, addressing the persistent maternal mortality disparities between rural and urban populations, investments in MFM solutions in rural communities have been on the rise. The integration of MFM services with regionally dominant OB/GYN practices is expected to drive revenue diversification and support the growth of comprehensive women’s health platforms.

We note Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (NYSE: MD) is a prominent provider of newborn, maternalfetal, and various pediatric subspecialty care services in the United States. Pediatrix is pursuing an organic growth strategy that involves collaborating with hospital partners to develop integrated service programs. This strategy positions Pediatrix as a solutions provider across the maternal-fetal, newborn, and pediatric continuum of care.[28]

4. Menopause Opportunity: Historically, menopause care has been overlooked, often limited to addressing acute symptoms through hormonal therapy, and only a fraction of women were aware of such options. Presently, a greater understanding has emerged regarding the link between menopause and prevalent daily symptoms like insomnia, fatigue, cognitive fogginess, and weight fluctuations. If left untreated, these issues can lead to metabolic changes that heighten menopausal women’s vulnerability to conditions like osteoporosis, diabetes, and heart disease, which subsequently strain healthcare systems. A 2023 study by Mayo Clinic found that 15 percent of women either missed work or cut back on hours because of menopause symptoms, and that loss of productivity costs women an estimated $1.8 billion annually.[29] Despite the severity of these symptoms, they continue to be inadequately addressed. The gap in care is disconcerting, considering women spend over a third of their lives in the peri- to postmenopausal phase.

Leading players in this market are poised to provide comprehensive solutions for both hormonal and nonhormonal menopausal symptoms, aiming to proactively mitigate adverse health outcomes. Successful ventures will adopt a holistic approach, combining personalized dietary and lifestyle adjustments with hormone therapy and routine metabolic health screenings. Numerous companies are already meeting the demand for tailored menopause care. For instance, Gennev, integrated within Unified Women’s Healthcare, offers virtual menopause management through its OB/GYNs and dietitians. Additionally, True Women’s Health provides its members personalized care through both the clinic setting and telehealth, that encompasses a wide range of women’s health services, from hormones and sexual health to nutrition, weight optimization, mental health, and more.

Just as companies have broadened their benefits packages to attract and retain talent through fertility treatments, parental leave, and childcare provisions, a similar trend is emerging with the integration of menopause-specific care. These benefits can include virtual access to the limited pool of approximately 1,000 certified specialists across the United States, who can be challenging to find locally. Additionally, these benefits can include coverage for potentially costly hormone treatments that might not be covered by certain insurance plans.

Changes in life expectancy are shaping the composition of the Medicare Advantage and dualeligible population. The 50+ market is expected to realize annual grow of 6.7 percent through 2030, meaning that the menopausal and post-menopausal populations are growing, and agerelated conditions are increasing in prevalence.[30] Given a history of underrepresentation of women in medical research and limitations on access to care, significant gaps in expertise and service availability have given rise to extensive potential for growth and a need to fill broad white space within the market. With changing life expectancy and increasing prevalence of conditions disproportionately affecting women, there is a growing interest in establishing women-focused services.

Notably, the pharmaceutical company, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Samsung’s venture capital arm are eyeing menopause healthcare as the global population ages. About 100 startups are now developing menopause interventions.[31] Although often labeled a niche health topic, menopause will impact roughly half the population at some point in their life and with a greater number of working women the impact to both patients and their employers will be significant. Therefore, expansion into menopause products and services is expected to offer a significant market opportunity in the coming years.

5. Increased Coverage for Infertility Treatment: Statewide mandates in the United States have expanded coverage for infertility diagnosis and treatment, with an increasing number of states requiring health insurance companies to offer or cover these services (see Figure 1). This regulatory change, combined with a larger proportion of women in the workforce, has led to an increased prevalence of private insurance and out-of-pocket payments for fertility services. Launched in 2016, Progyny, Inc. is a benefits management company specializing in fertility and family building benefits solutions in the United States. Progyny announced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2019 and currently has contracts with over 370 employers to provide coverage to 5.4 million employees and their partners. Per its most recent annual report, Progyny estimates that the addressable market for fertility benefits consists of approximately 8,000 self-insured employers representing approximately 75 million covered lives in total. Additionally, Progyny notes that when comparing the United States to other countries, the percentage of babies born utilizing assisted reproductive technology (ART) is materially lower, at less than 2 percent in the United States compared to approximately 10 percent in Denmark and 6 percent in Japan.[32] Based on these factors, there is room for significant growth for fertility treatment coverage in the United States.

6. Physician Shortage and Provider Compensation: The American Congress of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) projected a shortage of up to 8,800 OB/GYNs by 2020 and up to 22,000 by 2050.[33] As previously mentioned, the number of active OB/GYN physicians increased only 0.8 percent from 2016 to 2021.[34] Additionally, per MGMA Provider Compensation data, total compensation for OB/GYN generalists has remained fairly muted. Between the 2018 and 2023 MGMA Provider Compensation Surveys, median total compensation for OB/GYN generalists has increased at a compound annual growth rate of 2.7 percent, compared to an annual growth rate of 4.3 percent for all nonfarm employees in the United States over the same period (see Figures 5, 6, and 7).[35] Slow wage growth and projected provider shortages are likely to be primary headwinds in the women’s health industry going forward.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 5
Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 6
Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 7

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY

Transaction activity in the women’s health industry has been robust, driven by the growing interest of investors and the consolidation of market participants. Figure 8 illustrates annual transaction volume for women’s health in the United States from 2013 to 2022. The data presented has been sourced from a single transaction database and is not meant to represent total women’s health transaction volume, but to serve as a proxy for the increased transaction activity in recent years. Between 2021 and 2022, approximately 90 transactions have occurred, accounting for around 70 percent of the deal volume over the past five years.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 8

Private equity-backed platforms have been at the forefront of transaction activity, leveraging their capital resources and expertise in building scalable businesses. Larger platforms have pursued consolidation trategies, acquiring smaller physician groups to achieve greater scale and operational efficiencies (see Figures 9 and 10). This trend is expected to continue as private equity sponsors aim to position their platforms for strategic exits or public offerings. Secondary buyouts have also gained prominence, as existing private equity-backed platforms reach the end of their investment horizons. Secondary acquisitions present an opportunity for new investors to enter the market, injecting fresh capital and driving further consolidation within the industry.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 9 and 10

Notable Transactions

The increased transaction volume in the women’s health industry reflects a growing interest from both strategic and financial buyers, as the industry continues to experience growth and faces new challenges.

Notable transactions in the industry include Kindbody raising $100 million in capital funding from Perceptive Advisors in March 2023.[37] Kindbody, a fertility clinic operator and employer benefits provider, is a later stage venture capital-backed startup that was founded in late 2018. In 2022, Kindbody made three strategic acquisitions, including Vios Fertility Institute, Phosphorus Labs, and a gestational surrogacy agency. Today, Kindbody offers comprehensive women’s health and fertility services, including fertility treatments, adoption, surrogacy, maternity care, gynecology, and holistic wellness services. They leverage modern technology to provide accessible and high-quality care at low prices. Kindbody has raised over $290 million in equity and debt funding from leading investors including Perceptive Advisors, GV (formerly Google Ventures), RRE Ventures, Claritas Health Ventures, Rock Springs Capital, NFP Ventures, and TQ Ventures. With its latest financing increasing its valuation to $1.8 billion, the company now holds the title of the largest women-owned fertility company serving employers and consumers.

In May 2020, Amulet Capital Partners, a middle-market private equity investment firm based in Greenwich, Connecticut, focused exclusively on the healthcare sector, and Shady Grove Fertility, the largest independent fertility practice in the United States, announced the formation of US Fertility, a business support services platform. US Fertility supports fertility focused physician practices with a range of non-clinical services, including clinical and business information systems, facilities and operations management, finance and accounting, and fertility treatment financing programs.[38] As of August 2023, US Fertility is comprised of six fertility groups across the country.

Another notable transaction is the acquisition of Gennev by Unified Women’s Healthcare for an undisclosed amount in October 2022, making Unified Women’s Healthcare the leader in menopause care in the U.S.[39] Currently, Gennev consists of 28 board-certified OB/GYNs supporting their patients through menopause and midlife.[40]

LifeStance, a major behavioral health provider, has formed a partnership with Gennev, a digital health platform focused on menopause care, to enhance its integrated care offerings. The collaboration aims to address the growing importance of women’s health, particularly menopause, within the behavioral health industry. With a team of OB/GYNs, registered dietitians, and health coaches, Gennev provides personalized menopause care plans. The partnership aligns with LifeStance’s strategic goal of offering comprehensive care and reflects the need to proactively address behavioral health conditions during menopause. This collaboration signifies the recognition of the interconnectedness between mental health, primary care, and reproductive health in delivering holistic care for women.[41]

Women’s Health is a leading healthcare industry of interest for private equity investment. Women’s health platforms and private equity sponsors across the nation are shown in Figure 11.

Industry Insights - Women's Health in 2023 Figure 11

PRACTICE VALUATIONS IN THE WOMEN’S HEALTH SPACE

Valuation expectations in the women’s health space have been influenced by multiple factors, including revenue growth, profitability, patient volume, and market share. While there is no one-size-fits-all approach, certain financial metrics and considerations play a significant role in determining practice valuations.

Historically, valuations in the women’s health industry have been driven by revenue multiples. However, as the industry evolves towards value-based care and integrated care models, there is an increasing focus on the quality of earnings and patient outcomes. Practices with well-documented patient outcomes, effective cost management strategies, and strong referral networks often command higher valuations.

Moreover, the presence of ancillary revenue streams, such as in-house diagnostics, genetic testing, or telehealth services, can positively impact practice valuations. Diversified revenue streams provide stability and the potential for incremental revenue growth, making the practice more attractive to investors.

According to research published in 2017 by the medical social network Doximity, approximately 36 percent of OB/GYNs are 55 years-old or older and of the 50 metropolitan areas evaluated in the research, Doximity found 32 metro areas where at least one third of OB/GYNs are 55 years-old or older. Additionally, the Doximity report noted that ACOG found that most OB/GYNs tend to retire between the ages of 59-69 years, with the median retirement age being 64 years old. The Doximity analysis also found that nationally, the average age of OB/GYNs is 51, and the Association of American Medical Colleges’ (AAMC) 2021 Active Physicians by Sex and Specialty report found that approximately 60 percent of OB/GYNs are now female (as compared to only 7 percent in 1970).[43, 44, 45] Based on these figures, many retiring OB/GYNs may be contemplating the sale of their practices in the coming years. In order to recognize the highest possible value for their practices, retiring OB/GYNs will need to consider the aforementioned factors and begin preparations well in advance of an anticipated retirement date.

 CONCLUSION

The women’s health industry continues to undergo rapid transformation, driven by demographic trends, growth in demand, expanding coverage, and increased investment interest. Key trends such as the adoption of value-based care, expansion of integrated care models, a focus on maternal-fetal medicine and menopause, and increased coverage for infertility treatment are shaping the industry landscape.

Transaction activity remains robust, with unprecedented venture capital investment and private equity-backed platforms driving consolidation and strategic acquisitions. Valuation expectations are influenced by financial metrics, patient outcomes, and the presence of ancillary revenue streams.

As the industry continues to evolve, it is crucial for women’s health providers, investors, and other stakeholders to stay informed about emerging trends and market dynamics. By embracing innovative care models, leveraging technology, and adapting to changing patient needs, the women’s health industry can deliver improved outcomes and drive sustainable growth in the years to come.

If you are looking to engage in a women’s health practice deal or compensation arrangement, contact the experts at HealthCare Appraisers for assistance with valuation and advisory issues surrounding your transaction.

For more information, please contact:

Cecelia R. Chavez, AM, Senior Associate at cchavez@hcfmv.com or (469) 995-7148
Chris Vaughan, MBA, ABV, Manager at cvaughan@hcfmv.com or (225) 307-0859
Nicholas J. Janiga, ASA, Partner at njaniga@hcfmv.com or (303) 566-3173

[1] Women’s Health Market Size, Share & Growth Report, 2030 (grandviewresearch.com)
[2] Women’s health research lacks funding – these charts show how (nature.com)
[3] Modern Healthcare, May 2023, Women’s Health Investor Summit 2023 Takeaways. (https://www.modernhealthcare.com/digital-health/womenshealth-investor-summit-2023-nyse-supernode-ventures-takeaways)
[4] Resolve: The National Infertility Association, June 2023, Insurance Coverage by State. (https://resolve.org/learn/financial-resources-for-familybuilding/insurance-coverage/insurance-coverage-by-state/)
[5] U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2022 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC). (https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/income-poverty/cps-hi/hi.html)
[6] IBISWorld, December 2022, Industry Report Gynecologists & Obstetrics in the US.
[7] Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”), Final Rule, 2006 through 2023.
[8] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Data from the National Vital Statistics System. Accessed August 2023. (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/Vitalstatsonline.htm#Births)
[9] Association of American Medical Colleges, 2022 Physician Specialty Data Report. (https://www.aamc.org/data-reports/workforce/data/percentage-change-number-active-physicians-specialty-2016-2021)
[10] The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), October 2019, Why Ob-Gyns Are Burning Out. (https://www.acog.org/news/news-articles/2019/10/why-ob-gyns-are-burning-out)
[11] Chartis, February 2023, Rural Health Safety Net Under Renewed Pressure as Pandemic Fades. (https://www.chartis.com/insights/rural-healthsafety-net-under-renewed-pressure-pandemic-fades)
[12] CNN, April 2023, Maternity Units Are Closing Across America Forcing Expectant Mothers to Hit the Road. (https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/07/health/maternity-units-closing/index.html)
[13] Temkin SM, Noursi S, Regensteiner JG, Stratton P, Clayton JA. Perspectives From Advancing National Institutes of Health Research to Inform and Improve the Health of Women: A Conference Summary. Obstet Gynecol. 2022 Jul 1;140(1):10-19. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000004821. Epub 2022 Jun 7. PMID: 35849451; PMCID: PMC9205296.
[14] McKinsey & Company, April 2023, Closing the data gaps in women’s health. (https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/life-sciences/our-insights/closing-the-data-gaps-in-womens-health)
[15] Estimated US female population experiencing vasomotor symptoms; Craig Best et al., “Prevalence of menopausal symptoms among mid-life women: findings from electronic medical records,” BMC Women’s Health, August 2015, Volume 15.
[16] “Endometriosis,” Office on Women’s Health, US Department of Health & Human Services.
[17] Arthur L. Burnett et al., “Prevalence and risk factors for erectile dysfunction in the US,” American Journal of Medicine, February 2007, Volume 120, Number 2.
[18] Benign prostatic hyperplasia with lower urinary tract symptoms; Gary Boas, “Prostatic Artery Embolization (PAE),” Radiology Rounds, Massachusetts General Hospital Department of Radiology, September 2019, Volume 17, Number 9.
[19] Image re-created from “Closing the data gaps in women’s health,” McKinsey & Company, April 2023.
[20] Fierce Healthcare, May 2023, Parsley Health Rolls Out Comprehensive Women’s Health Program as Company Rapidly Builds Out Employer-Focused Business. (https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/providers/parsley-health-rolls-out-comprehensive-womens-health-program-companyrapidly-moves)
[21] Levin Associates, January 2023, Record-Breaking Health Care M&A Activity Recorded in 2022. (https://www.levinassociates.com/press/recordbreaking-health-care-ma-activity-recorded-in-2022-according-to-acquisition-data-from-levinpro-hc/)
[22] Medicaid.gov (https://www.medicaid.gov/about-us/program-history/medicaid-50th-anniversary/entry/47704).
[23] MACPAC – Value-Based Payment for Maternity Care in Medicaid: Findings from Five States (https://www.macpac.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Value-Based-Payment-for-Maternity-Care-in-Medicaid-Findings-from-Five-States.pdf)
[24] Strong Start for Mothers and Newborns – Evaluation of Full Performance Period 2018. (https://innovation.cms.gov/files/reports/strongstartprenatal-fg-finalevalrpt.pdf)
[25] US Department of HHS. (https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2023/05/19/hhs-announces-over-65-million-address-maternal-health-crisis-investnew- approaches-care.html).
[26] Fierce Healthcare, August 2023, CMS Unveils New Changes to ACO REACH Model. (https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/cms-drop-newchanges- aco-reach-model)
[27] 25 Tex. Admin. Code §133.209 (2023). (https://texreg.sos.state.tx.us/public/readtac$ext.TacPage?sl=R&app=9&p_dir=&p_rloc=&p_tloc=&p_ ploc=&pg=1&p_tac=&ti=25&pt=1&ch=133&rl=209)
[28] Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc., Form 10-K, February 2023.
[29] Mayo Clinic, April 2023, Impact of Menopause Symptoms on Women in the Workplace. (https://www.mayoclinicproceedings.org/pb-assets/Health%20Advance/journals/jmcp/JMCP4097_proof.pdf)
[30] Nature, May 2023, Women’s Health Research Lacks Funding – These Charts Show How. (https://www.nature.com/immersive/d41586-023-01475- 2/index.html)
[31] Modern Healthcare, May 2023, Women’s Health Investor Summit 2023 Takeaways. (https://www.modernhealthcare.com/digital-health/womenshealth-investor-summit-2023-nyse-supernode-ventures-takeaways)
[32] Progyny, Inc. Form 10-K, March 2023. (https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1551306/000155130623000015/pgny-20221231.htm)
[33] Doximity, June 2018, 2018 OB-GYN Workforce Study – Looming Physician Shortages: A Growing Women’s Health Crisis. (https://assets.doxcdn.com/image/upload/pdfs/ob-gyn-workload-and-potential-shortages-2018.pdf)
[34] Association of American Medical Colleges, 2022 Physician Specialty Data Report. (https://www.aamc.org/data-reports/workforce/data/percentage-change-number-active-physicians-specialty-2016-2021)
[35] Economic Policy Institute – Nominal Wage Tracker. (https://www.epi.org/nominal-wage-tracker/)
[36] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2023, June, levinassociates.com
[37] PR Newswire, March 2023, Kindbody Announces $100 Million in New Funding to Further Accelerate Growth. (https://www.prnewswire.com/newsreleases/kindbody-announces-100-million-in-new-funding-to-further-accelerate-growth-301761116.html)
[38] US Fertility Press Release, May 2020. (https://www.usfertility.com/about-us-fertility/newsroom/amulet-capital-and-shady-grove-fertility-form-usfertility/)
[39] Business Wire, October 2022, Unified Women’s Healthcare acquires Gennev to become the leader in menopause care in the U.S. (https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221017006101/en/Unified-Women%E2%80%99s-Healthcare-acquires-Gennev-to-become-the-leader-inmenopause- care-in-the-U.S)
[40] Gennev, August 2023, Meet Your Menopause Care Team. (https://www.gennev.com/doctors)
[41] Behavioral Health Business, May 2023, How LiftStance’s Latest Partnership Reflects One of Health Care’s Biggest Trends. (https://www.bhbusiness.com/2023/05/16/how-lifestances-latest-partnership-reflects-one-of-health-cares-biggest-trends/)
[42] Sourced from each platform and/or private equity sponsor’s respective website. Accessed August 2023.
[43] Doximity, June 2018, 2018 OB-GYN Workforce Study – Looming Physician Shortages: A Growing Women’s Health Crisis (https://assets.doxcdn.com/image/upload/pdfs/ob-gyn-workload-and-potential-shortages-2018.pdf)
[44] Association of American Medical Colleges, 2022 Physician Specialty Data Report. (https://www.aamc.org/data-reports/workforce/data/activephysicians-sex-specialty-2021)
[45] Novant Health, October 2018, Female ob-gyns are now the majority (https://www.novanthealth.org/healthy-headlines/having-choice-means-a-lot)

The post Industry Insights: Women’s Health in 2023 appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
2023 Industry Outlook: Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services https://healthcareappraisers.com/2023-industry-outlook-gastroenterology-practices-and-ancillary-services/ Mon, 02 Oct 2023 21:39:49 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=6970 The post 2023 Industry Outlook: Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

Gastroenterology (“GI”) practices have been going through a period of consolidation since 2016 when the most recent wave of GI-focused physician practice management (“PPM”) companies started acquiring practices. Currently, there are several large private equity-backed PPM companies operating in the space, and we continue to observe interest in a variety of transaction types and structures. The GI space is attractive for many reasons, including the presence of ancillary services, favorable demographic trends, and recent changes to colorectal cancer screening recommendations. In addition to these industry tailwinds, operators face challenges related to provider shortages, inflation, and complicated relationships with hospitals. This article discusses the outlook for GI practices and related ancillary services, and analyzes transaction activity and industry valuations.

 TRANSACTION ACTIVITY AND VALUATIONS

Gastroenterology has been one of the more active specialties for PPM transaction activity in recent years, with several large platforms driving most of the deal volume. The current wave of PPM activity in the GI space started in 2016 when Audax Partners recapitalized Gastro Health. Since that time, there have been more than 130 GI practice acquisitions, with the large GI focused PPMs involved in the majority of those transactions.[1]

2023 industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Figure 1

As illustrated in Figure 1, transaction volume peaked in 2021, which was an extremely robust year for healthcare M&A. As interest rates started rising in 2022, recession fears creeped in and valuations for healthcare transactions returned to more typical levels. As a result, healthcare M&A, including GI practice transaction volume, has slowed down, although high quality assets continue to transact. The largest platforms in the space account for as much as 90 percent of the transaction volume.[2]

As with all PPM transactions, there is a wide range of valuation multiples paid for GI practices. The valuation multiple depends on a variety of factors, including the size of the practice, location, deployment of technology including high functioning EMR, online booking, referral management, patient engagement, and the presence of ancillaries such as an ambulatory surgical center (“ASC”), diagnostic imaging, weight loss, pathology, infusion, disease management, and anesthesia. We observe midsized GI practice transactions with EBITDA multiples ranging from the high single digits to low double digits. Larger platform acquisition multiples are typically in the mid-teens range, such as the OMERS acquisition of Gastro Health from Audax in 2021 for approximately 16x EBITDA. Smaller tuck-in acquisitions are typically in the mid-single digits range, while GI-focused ambulatory surgery centers have recently transacted in the range of 7x to 9x EBITDA.

“We are currently seeing 10x to 13x EBITDA for practices and 8x to 9x EBITDA for GI focused surgery centers.”

– Large GI PPM Operator

 GI PPM PLATFORMS

There are several large platforms operating in the GI space, including the five largest depicted in Figure 2. Many of the large platforms have transacted in recent years, and our work in the space suggests that there are unlikely to be many additional platforms formed. OMERS acquired Gastro Health from Audax in 2021 with an implied enterprise value of $950 million (approximately 16x EBITDA). GI Alliance is majority owned by physicians, and recently bought out minority investor Waud Capital with financing from Apollo. Kohlberg & Company acquired United Digestive from Frazier Healthcare Partners in March of 2023. In addition to these five organizations that specialize in GI practice operations and related ancillaries, Physicians Endoscopy (“PEGI”) operates an ASC-focused GI strategy that enables physicians to remain independent while investing in GI-specific ambulatory surgery centers. PEGI was originally acquired by Kelso & Company private equity in 2016, and more recently sold to SCA Health (part of UnitedHealth Group subsidiary, Optum) in June of 2022. CRH Medical specializes in providing anesthesia services for GI ASCs and office-based surgery settings and is owned by WELL Health (WELL.TO). At the time of its acquisition by WELL Health, CRH Medical had completed 31 anesthesia acquisitions and provided anesthesia services to 69 ASCs.[3] Based on data from Irving Levin, the median revenue multiple for these acquisitions was 1.5x and the median EBITDA multiple was 3.5x. Most of these transactions involved smaller practices with less than $10 million in revenue.[4] Smaller platforms operating in the space include Gastro Care Partners, Gastro MD, Digestive Capital Care, Allied Digestive Health, and Pinnacle GI Partners.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 2

We note that the number of platforms operating in the GI field is considerably less than other specialties such as ophthalmology and dermatology. Gastroenterology is different from these other specialties in several respects, not the least of which is that GI physicians frequently practice at hospitals in an inpatient setting in addition to their clinical work. This can lead to unique transaction structures and sometimes complicated relationships with hospitals. In addition, several of the platforms have elected to concentrate on gaining scale in a smaller number of regional geographic markets, as opposed to having a national footprint.

 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE

While every practice transaction has unique aspects, there are key fundamental differences between acquisitions by hospitals versus private equity firms. Hospital acquisitions typically are heavily focused on post-transaction compensation, representing a significant portion of the overall value conveyed to the seller. Figure 3 illustrates an example of how value could be allocated for a practice acquired by a hospital, whereby a material portion of the value achieved by the seller is in the form of higher compensation post-transaction. In this example, one-third of the overall value of the transaction would be transferred at closing, with the remaining two-thirds earned over the initial employment term. The amount conveyed through increases in compensation will depend, in large part, on how much compensation the sellers were generating pre-transaction. Given that compensation paid by hospitals and health systems to physicians must be consistent with fair market value, successful GI groups with highly compensated physicians may not be able to realize large pay increases and may require higher upfront purchase consideration.

The private equity model is different from the hospital/health system model in that the sellers typically receive larger consideration upfront, with the remaining consideration rolled over into equity in the platform organization. The amount of rollover equity typically ranges from 20 percent to 40 percent of the total purchase consideration, with recent transactions we have worked on ranging from 30 to 35 percent. In addition, since physician practices typically distribute all available earnings to the owners, EBITDA must be “created” through a reduction in total cash compensation for the sellers (known as a “scrape”). Many private equity transactions are structured such that a large component of the purchase consideration is related to the sale of personal goodwill by the selling physicians.[5] This can have tax implications for the sellers, and we are frequently engaged to value personal goodwill in connection with physician practices selling to private equity platforms.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 3

While many GI practice acquisitions have this structure, we have observed certain unique structures in the space as well. Unlike certain other PPM specialties, which may focus primarily or exclusively on outpatient care, many GI physicians have a substantial portion of their practice in the hospital inpatient setting. Some GI practices are even exclusively hospital based, and many gastroenterologists are employed by hospitals. Particularly for employed physicians, transaction structures tend to be focused on the sale of personal goodwill, since employees do not own any other tangible assets associated with the provision of their medical services. We observe similar “acqui-hire” transaction structures in other specialties, including cardiology and orthopedics, wherein platforms acquire and employ groups of physicians that are embedded within health systems. As discussed earlier, many PPM transactions involve the same acquisition of personal goodwill in addition to other corporate assets, and we are frequently engaged to value personal goodwill in connection with these transactions. For additional detail on these valuations, see our recent article “Personal Goodwill: A Common Multi-Million Dollar Component in Physician Practice Transactions.

In addition to transactions that are exclusively predicated on personal goodwill sales, we have observed PPM strategies focused on buying the office-based surgery (“OBS”) service line of GI practices. Under these transactions, PPMs acquire the assets associated with the practice’s OBS, and then enter into noncompete arrangements with the practice’s physicians. These strategies often benefit from the site of service differentials between the ASC and OBS, as well as increased case volumes due to certain industry tailwinds. We note that there are different regulatory and accreditation requirements from state to state, as well as different commercial payor reimbursement plans for OBSs. Based on these different dynamics, we observe OBS service lines being more prevalent in certain states compared to others.

 ANCILLARY SERVICES

Investor interest in the GI space is driven in part by the presence of ancillary services that can be added or expanded as a practice grows. These ancillary services help drive profitability of a platform, which enables income repair for the physicians post-transaction, and helps a platform reduce the effective multiple paid in practice acquisitions. In our experience, income repair for the physicians is one of the most important aspects of ensuring successful PPM transactions. Figure 4 outlines the various ancillary services that may be provided in conjunction with GI practices.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 4

Many procedures performed by gastroenterologists, including colonoscopies and endoscopies, can be performed in the ambulatory surgery center setting. When billed in the ASC setting, the physician receives a professional fee for the surgical services, and the ASC receives a facility fee. The facility fee revenue can be profitable, and gastroenterologists frequently own equity interests in the ASCs in which they perform cases (whether multi-specialty or single specialty GI-focused centers). As discussed in further detail herein, recent reimbursement trends for the most common GI procedures performed in an ASC have been positive, with the FY2024 proposed rule from CMS including increases of 7 percent to 9 percent, depending on the procedure. Large enough GI practices are able to support single-specialty GI surgery centers that increase the profitability of the platform. Within multi-specialty ASCs, gastroenterology procedures represent a high volume, lower reimbursement procedure that can help keep operating rooms full. In our ASC Survey, we ask multi-specialty centers to rank the desirability of various specialties. While GI usually ranks lower than the highest reimbursing procedures, like orthopedic, spine, and cardiology, it is above the median desirability and ranks higher than many other lower reimbursing specialties. We expect GI ASC volumes to increase in the coming years driven by a number of factors, including the aging population and recent recommendations to lower the age for colorectal cancer screenings.

GI practices can also bring anesthesia services in-house (typically through ownership of a related entity). Billing and collecting for the anesthesia provided to patients undergoing procedures at the practice (in either an office-based setting or ASC) represents a significant revenue opportunity for GI practices. We note that the ability to staff anesthesiologists or certified registered nurse anesthetists (“CRNAs”) represents a significant headwind for the industry and has been pressuring margins in recent years. We continue to see interest in bringing this service in-house to secure reliable coverage and capture the economic benefits associated with providing anesthesia.

Many GI practices offer infusion therapy to patients that suffer from severe or chronic diseases. Certain types of cancers, infections, Crohn’s disease, ulcerative colitis, and inflammatory bowel disease are examples of diseases that are commonly treated with outpatient infusion services. In addition to infusion services, large GI practices can offer pathology services, which typically involve testing the biopsy samples taken during the procedures. We have observed arrangements wherein the practice bills globally for the pathology services, or bills the technical or professional component only. The ability to provide infusion and/or pathology services can help drive profitability for large practices, but requires investments in space, equipment, staffing, and technology. PPMs provide access to the capital needed to invest in these services, as well as the scale necessary to support profitable service lines. We have also worked with smaller practices that outsource the management of their pathology service line (or other ancillary service line) to management companies that focus exclusively on those ancillary services.

While value-based care (“VBC”) models have yet to gain substantial traction in the GI space, market participants have indicated that certain wellness programs have been well received with payors, and longer-term there are opportunities for GI groups to participate in VBC models that focus on weight loss and disease management, among others. Some market participants also expect that as primary care consolidates, these entities will create narrow networks and need GI groups with scale to refer to, which could benefit the larger GI platforms. As mentioned earlier, several of the larger platforms have focused on gaining density in geographic markets in order to be able to provide these services and participate in value-based care arrangements. Given the prevalence of chronic disease caused by obesity, we believe there are substantial opportunities for GI practices to participate in certain valuebased care models, and we expect the PPMs to push more heavily into this space in the coming years. We note that some digital digestive health startups, including Vivante Health, which raised capital from a group of investors including venture capital funds and Intermountain Health, have raised capital recently, pointing toward continued interest in the space.

We expect the large GI platforms to continue to consolidate practices, but do not expect many new platforms to form. Approximately 10 percent of GI physicians are currently part of a private equitybacked platform[6], and there is still significant runway for further consolidation. There are approximately 2,100 gastroenterology physician practices in the United States, and the majority of these are small (less than 3 physicians) practices. Given the large number of smaller, independent practices, there remains significant opportunity for further consolidation by the large PPMs. Figure 5 illustrates the size breakout of GI practices in the United States.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 5

 INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

The gastroenterology practice industry has numerous tailwinds supporting growth and further consolidation. The aging population and changing guidelines for colorectal cancer screening both represent significant drivers of demand for GI services. The proposed reduction in the 2024 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule conversion factor may result in a reduction to reimbursement for professional GI services if finalized, but proposed increases to facility fees at surgical facilities can help offset such reduction if physicians maintain equity ownership in the facilities where they perform procedures. Longer term, there is a shortage of providers that will impact the ability of the industry to meet the increasing demand, and will make it difficult for practices and platform companies to hire new physicians.

 DEMOGRAPHICS

As previously mentioned, the aging population is expected to drive increased demand for healthcare services, with GI services expected to experience a disproportionate increase in demand. Based on population projections from the Census Bureau, the percentage of the population aged 65 and older is expected to increase from 17 percent to 21 percent by 2030, and 23 percent by 2060.[7] As a result, there will be approximately 40 million more Americans over the age of 65. Figure 6 presents demographic projections for the United States.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 6

As the population ages, there is an increased need for common GI procedures, including colonoscopies. In addition, the recommended age for colorectal cancer screenings was recently lowered from 50 to 45, which should lead to millions more screenings. Colorectal cancer is the third leading cause of cancer death in both men and women, and incidence of these cancers in individuals below the age of 50 has been rising in recent years.[8] As a result, the number of GI screening procedures has increased significantly.

The updated recommendations from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force not only increase awareness for people under the age of 50, but likely will make it easier for them to receive a cancer screening without any out-of-pocket cost due to provisions in the Affordable Care Act. This could lead to as many as 15 million[9] additional individuals becoming eligible to receive a cancer screening at no out-of-pocket cost, which should help drive significant growth for GI practices and related surgery centers. Figure 7 presents Census Bureau projections of the population aged 45 and above.

It is worth noting that GI case growth has been particularly strong so far this year. We see evidence of both deferred care and also expansion of care for the under 50-year-old patient population from recent guideline changes, which we believe should be a source of ongoing and expanding demand over time.

– Tenet Healthcare Corporation, earnings call with investors on July 31, 2023

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 7

 REIMBURSEMENT

The FY2024 proposed rule from CMS includes reimbursement cuts for gastroenterologists, primarily due to the 3.34 percent reduction in the RVU conversion factor. Figure 8 presents the resulting reimbursement changes under the 2024 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule for both facility and nonfacility billing under the proposed rule. As illustrated in Figure 8, physicians performing the top 10 most common GI CPT codes (excluding Evaluation and Management CPT Codes) will experience a reduction in reimbursement from Medicare ranging from 3 percent to 5 percent. Figure 8 also presents the changes in reimbursement for ambulatory surgery centers and hospital outpatient departments. Under the proposed rule, facility fees at ambulatory surgery centers will increase from 7 percent to 9 percent, depending on the CPT Code, while the corresponding increases in reimbursement in hospital outpatient departments will range from 5 percent to 6 percent. The result of these proposed rules is that physicians will receive a reduction in reimbursement for their professional services irrespective of where they perform procedures, but physicians with ownership interests in ASCs will have an offset, while those that perform procedures primarily in an office-based setting face even greater headwinds. This could lead to migration of cases to the ASC setting, which would benefit all PPMs and managers of GI-focused ASCs. It is important to note that these figures are based on the proposed rule, which may differ from the final rule that is typically released in November.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 8

While Medicare reimbursements are certainly important for gastroenterology practices, commercial payors represent approximately 45 percent of practice charges, while Medicare is slightly under 40 percent.[10] Figure 9 presents the median payor mix for gastroenterology practices. According to data from the Urban Institute, the average commercial reimbursement within the gastroenterology space is 120 percent of Medicare.[11] While many specialties generate a higher commercial-to-Medicare percentage, commercial payors are still beneficial to GI practices. We note that the same study found that average anesthesia reimbursements from commercial payors were 330 percent of Medicare, which helps illustrate the opportunity for GI practices that provide their own anesthesia services.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 9

 HOSPITAL EMPLOYMENT/CONTRACTING

As discussed earlier in this article, many GI physicians have a portion of their practice rounding on patients in the emergency department and after admission. Many GI practices also have on-call arrangements with hospitals to cover the needs of emergent patient care. For practices with significant ancillary services and favorable payor mixes (i.e., most PPM affiliated practices), hospital work tends to be less profitable. In our experience, this can present challenges as hospitals still need physicians to round on their patients and provide surgical services. We note that certain other medical specialties, particularly in the hospitalbased physician services space, have seen significant increases in support payments paid to physician staffing companies, and some of the larger staffing companies, including Envision and American Physician Partners, are struggling financially.[12] Given the differences between GI practices and hospital-based physician staffing companies, we do not expect these issues to arise among the GI PPMs. Nevertheless, providing call coverage and providing services under hospital contracts remain an important element of many GI practices, and navigating these relationships represents an ongoing challenge for some practices.

 PROVIDER SHORTAGES

According to data from CMS, there are more than 14,000 physicians specializing in gastroenterology that are actively involved in patient care in the United States. The Health Resources and Services Administration projects a shortage of more than 1,600 gastroenterologists by 2025[13], with the American Association of Medical Colleges projecting similar shortages relative to demand.[14] The shortage of GI physicians relative to demand is driven by both sides of the supply and demand equation, with demand expected to increase significantly due to the industry tailwinds discussed earlier in this article.

There are also industry concerns about the supply of gastroenterologists based on the current age of the population of GI physicians and the number of physicians currently in medical school. Specifically, approximately one-third of GI physicians currently practicing graduated from medical school in the 1990s or earlier. This suggests a coming wave of retirements that, when coupled with increasing demand, is expected to exacerbate the shortage of gastroenterologists as early as 2025. The projected shortage is not expected to be evenly distributed from a geographic standpoint, with the Northeast region of the United States expected to have a surplus of providers, while the rest of the country is expected to have a deficit. Figure 10 presents the population of gastroenterologists based on the decade they graduated from medical school.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 10

The shortage of GI physicians could have numerous impacts on the industry. Compensation paid to GI physicians will likely increase due to the competition for new providers. This could hurt practice margins as physicians have more leverage to negotiate. With a lack of new providers to recruit, valuation multiples for existing practices should have a relative floor in place, assuming the providers are early or in the middle of their careers. We also expect increasing utilization of advanced practice providers, as we have seen with other PPMs, although there are significant shortages in the nursing space as well. Practices with an acute shortage may experience longer wait times for procedures which can lead to lost revenue. However, increased use of technology should make practices more efficient and reduce the administrative burden on providers.

 COMPENSATION TRENDS

Compensation for gastroenterologists has been increasing in recent years, with diverging trends based on practice ownership. According to data from MGMA, median compensation for all gastroenterologists increased 9 percent from 2018 to 2023, but compensation for hospital owned groups only increased 4 percent, while physician owned groups increased 15 percent over the same time period. These trends are even more pronounced at the 75th and 90th percentile, with hospital owned group compensation actually declining from 2018 to 2023 at both the 75th and 90th percentiles. We note that the hospital owned category includes management services organizations (i.e., PPMs).[15] As discussed earlier, physicians typically take pay reductions as part of PPM transactions, whereas hospital acquisitions of practices often include an increase in compensation. Given the increase in PPM acquisitions over the last several years, this could be a factor driving compensation trends within the industry. As discussed earlier, income repair is a critical factor in successful PPM models, and declining cash compensation does not necessarily equal less income for physicians involved in PPMs.

2023 Industry Outlook - Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services Figure 11

 CONCLUSION

The GI space should benefit from strong demand for services as long as there is sufficient capacity among providers to meet the growing need. We expect the large PPM platforms to continue to consolidate markets, and we see significant GI opportunities in value-based care over the long term. While the overall healthcare M&A landscape has slowed relative to the activity observed when interest rates were at or near 0 percent, we believe the GI subspecialty is poised for continued transaction activity due to the industry tailwinds and the still relatively fragmented market. Contact the experts at HealthCare Appraisers to discuss your valuation or advisory needs regarding any contemplated activity in the GI space.

Read the other articles in our 2023 Trends and Outlook series: 

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook: A Reviving Heartbeat

Industry Insights: Women’s Health in 2023

[1] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2023, August, levinassociates.com. We note that the data presented has been sourced from a single transaction database and is not meant to represent total GI transaction volume but serve as a proxy for the increased transaction activity. Many GI transactions are private and may not be publicly disclosed.
[2] Ibid.
[3] CRH Medical; https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/crh-medical-announces-agreement-to-be-acquired-by-well-health-301223713.html; Accessed September 11, 2023
[4] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2023, August, levinassociates.com.
[5] Employed physicians can also take a reduction in post-transaction compensation and receive upfront consideration and rollover equity.
[6] Gastroenterologyandhepatology.net; The Rise of Private Equity in Gastroenterology Practices; Accessed August 29, 2023
[7] Census.gov; https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2020/demo/p25-1144.pdf?utm_ source=adwords&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI0KTlzviA5gIVCoeGCh0ewgyUEAAYAyAAEgI4_fD_BwE?utm_medium=ppc; Accessed April 18, 2023
[8] JAMA Network.com; https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2779985; Accessed August 29, 2023
[9] PEGI Journal.com; https://www.pegijournal.com/how-the-new-screening-age-will-impact-the-gi-landscape/; Accessed August 29, 2023
[10] MGMA DataDive
[11] Urban.org; https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/104945/commercial-health-insurance-markups-over-medicare-prices-forphysician- services-vary-widely-by-specialty.pdf; Accessed August 29, 2023
[12] Beckers.com; https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-physician-relationships/american-physician-partners-to-close.html#:~:text=It%20 is%20a%20portfolio%20company,in%20a%20statement%20to%20Bloomberg.; Accessed September 11, 2023
[13] Health Resources and Services Administration; https://bhw.hrsa.gov/sites/default/files/bureau-health-workforce/data-research/internalmedicine- subspecialty-report.pdf; Accessed April 18, 2023
[14] AAMC.org; https://www.aamc.org/media/45976/download; Accessed April 18, 2023
[15] Per the MGMA DataDive Glossary, the “Hospital/IDS Owned” category includes hospitals, integrated health systems or integrated delivery systems, management services organizations, and physician practice management companies.

The post 2023 Industry Outlook: Gastroenterology Practices and Ancillary Services appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>
2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook: A Reviving Heartbeat https://healthcareappraisers.com/2023-cardiology-industry-outlook-a-reviving-heartbeat/ Tue, 12 Sep 2023 12:03:06 +0000 https://healthcareappraisers.com/?p=6907 The post 2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook: A Reviving Heartbeat appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>

The cardiology sector has experienced a surge in transaction activity in recent years, with the main buy-side participants being private equity-backed physician practice managers (“PPMs”) and health systems. This article discusses the key drivers to transaction activity in the cardiology sector (outlined in Figure 1), provides insight into the current transaction environment, and outlines the value propositions that different buyers bring to a transaction.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 1

The popularity of transaction activity in the cardiology space is not unprecedented, as we observed numerous cardiology acquisitions occurring between 2008 and 2012. The Deficit Reduction Act of 2005, which resulted in in-office ancillary cuts to Medicare reimbursement for cardiologists (illustrated in Figure 2), helped fuel a surge in health systems acquiring cardiology practices.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 2

The pressures of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 continued fueling the trend of cardiology group and hospital alignment. Based on survey data gathered by the Medical Group Management Association (“MGMA”) for the four major cardiology specialties,[1] just under 15 percent of physician respondents were from hospital owned entities in 2006, compared to approximately 86 percent in 2022. Coupled with this trend, compensation for cardiologists as tracked by the same MGMA surveys has increased by an average compound annual growth rate[2] of approximately 2.4 percent from 2006 to 2022.

Supply and Demand in Cardiology

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, as of July 2022, over 55 million Americans were 65 years of age or older, which equates to approximately 17 percent of the U.S. population.[3] The aging population is expected to continue to grow in the coming years with the Administration for Community Living projecting Americans aged 65 or older to surpass 94 million by 2060.[4] Combined with the current size and expected growth of the aging population in the U.S., a high proportion of adults in the U.S. have significant health problems. The Harvard School of Public Health states that approximately two in every three adults in the U.S. are considered overweight or obese.[5] Additionally, the leading cause of death in the U.S. is attributable to heart disease,[6] with recent studies indicating that only approximately 7 percent of Americans have optimal heart health.[7] Given these factors, demand for cardiology procedures is expected to rise in the near future as more adults require cardiac care.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 3

Coupled with the high expected demand for cardiology services is a fear across the U.S. surrounding a constrained supply of cardiologists. The chair of the American College of Cardiology stated in 2022 that “there is a shortage of cardiologists, and [the shortage] is only going to get worse.” Additionally, the chair noted that just over 26 percent of cardiologists are over the age of 61 and that the number of cardiologists finishing training is merely a fraction of the number of cardiologists planning to retire over the next decade.[8] Additionally, the vast majority of cardiologists are employed by health systems across the U.S., with just over 67 percent of cardiologists employed by health systems as tracked by the Physicians Advocacy Institute from 2019 through 2021.[9]

These factors foreshadow a future in America where demand for cardiology outpaces the supply of cardiologists, which, in turn, has influenced a spike in cardiology transaction activity recently as entities work to secure cardiologists to take advantage of this expected increase in demand.

The Rise of Outpatient Procedures and Other Ancillaries

In 1982, CMS approved its first procedures for the ambulatory surgery center (“ASC”) setting, with the approved list of procedures expanding to over 2,000 by 1995.[10] To this day, CMS continues to approve new procedures to be performed in ASCs. These CMS initiatives have created strong tailwinds for cardiology in recent years, most notably with the approval of PCI stenting in ASC settings in 2020. Figure 4 displays CMS approved cardiology CPT Codes for the ASC setting in 2022.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 4

Cardiologists expect this tailwind to continue to be strong, with multiple procedures expected to be approved in the ASC setting over the next few years, as highlighted in Figure 5:

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 5

Additionally, J. Eric Evans, the CEO and Director of Surgery Partners, Inc. (NASDAQ: SGRY), stated in the company’s quarterly earnings call on March 1, 2023 that, “we are preparing for the next wave of cardiac procedures that we expect to migrate to outpatient settings starting in earnest over the next five years.”[13] We also note from our experience working with various ASCs that these cases tend to generate high profitability and can boost an ASC’s overall financial performance. Figure 6 depicts EBITDA margins for ASCs based on HealthCare Appraisers’ 2021 ASC Valuation and Benchmarking Survey.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 6

Overall, the current and expected growth in cardiac procedures shifting from hospitals to ASCs is a key driver that has helped bolster transaction activity in cardiology.

Office-Based Ancillaries

Another common ancillary service many cardiology groups provide are various cardiac imaging services (i.e., EKGs/ECGs, CT/PET scans, MRIs, etc.) as well as cardiac catheterization to confirm these imaging results. The provision of cardiac imaging and catheterization is vital for both the diagnosis and maintenance of various cardiovascular diseases. These services are typically performed in office-based labs or cath labs (“OBLs”), which can be built as extensions of a physician’s office or in a hybrid model with an ASC. Under the hybrid model, a physician group will operate the facility as an OBL certain days of the week and as an ASC on the remaining days. Operating an OBL brings similar benefits as an ASC by improving the efficiency and quality of care provided by the cardiology group. Additionally, the provision of imaging and catheterization services through an OBL is viewed as a major positive by patients as they are able to seek all of their cardiac care from one provider as opposed to having to be referred to a secondary provider.

Vein Clinics

We have also witnessed many cardiology practices that operate vein clinics, which are setup to provide treatments for conditions such as varicose and spider veins. Whether cosmetic or medically necessary, offering vein ablation services can result in both conveniences for patients, as well additional revenue streams to a cardiology practice. Although there will be certain incremental direct expenses, such as staffing and supply related expenses associated with operating a vein ablation service line, practices may be able to leverage indirect expenses that are more fixed in nature, such as administrative support and occupancy expenses, to yield favorable contribution margins of this service line to the overall financial performance of the practices.

Cardiology Clinical Research

We have observed several cardiology groups engaged in clinical research activities coordinated through their practices. These clinical research activities involve working with a study sponsor (typically large pharmaceutical firms) who relies on the cardiology group to provide the requisite clinical care related to the study. Given the voluntary nature of clinical research, clinical research service lines often vary in size. While clinical research service lines will have certain direct expenses that are incremental in nature, such as payroll expenses associated with a clinical research director and coordinator and principal investigator fees, the leveraging of other indirect fixed expenses (as described in the preceding paragraph on vein clinics), can result in a clinical research service line that provides positive financial benefit to a practice. While the research service lines are many times a smaller component of the larger medical practice operations, these services can have other indirect positive impacts on a medical group, including strengthened reputation in both the local and national market.

Bundled Payments

Another major benefit of having various ancillary service offerings is the ability to bundle pricing with payors, which has been a push by CMS and many private payors that has gained traction in recent years. Under a bundled payment model, CMS and private insurers pay providers for the entirety of care provided to a patient for a medical event as opposed to payments for each individual component. In addition to the bundled payment model, CMS and private insurers have started to develop reimbursement plans where payment is made for total lives managed versus paying for each service provided (i.e., a capitation model). Both of these payment models are considered value-based care (further discussed below) and the end goal is to drive down costs and motivate providers to efficiently coordinate care while reducing the amount of duplicative tests and treatments. Cardiology groups that have the ability to provide ancillary services to patients are in the best position to transition to these value-based payment models.

Value-Based Care

As the healthcare sector continues to move to value-based enterprises and value-based care initiatives, cardiology is an area that that is poised for opportunity in this arena. An example initiative summarized on the CMS Innovation Center website is the “Million Hearts” initiative – an initiative co-led by CMS and the CDC. The Million Hearts initiative is described as one to “drive adoption and use of a focused set of high impact clinical quality measures for the ABCS (Aspirin when appropriate, Blood pressure control, Cholesterol management, and Smoking cessation) and align these measures across public and private national programs.” The ABCS and secondary Million Hearts measures can be found in the CMS Quality Payment Program (QPP) throughout both the Merit-based Incentive Payment System, including the Cardiology, Family Medicine, and Internal Medicine specialty measures groups, and in some Advanced Payment Models like the Comprehensive Primary Care Plus initiative. In addition to their presence in the above-listed measure initiatives, these clinical quality measures can be found throughout other public systems such as the Health Resources and Service Administration Uniform Data System, the CMS Shared Savings Program, and the CMS Transforming Clinical Practices Initiative.[14]

As the patient base in the cardiology sector typically is comprised of a large number of Medicare beneficiaries, this fact may bode well for the future of cardiology-focused, value-based initiatives put forth by CMS.

Transaction Environment in Cardiology

The highlighted drivers have fueled great interest in the cardiology space. Figure 7 illustrates annual transaction volume for cardiology in the United States from 2016 to 2023. We note that the data presented has been sourced from a single transaction database and is not meant to represent total cardiology transaction volume, but serve as a proxy for the increased transaction activity. We note that most cardiology transactions are private and not publicly disclosed.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 7

In addition to the transaction activity illustrated in Figure 7, the authors have had numerous conversations with PPMs and investment banks regarding cardiology investment activity in recent years. From the authors’ conversations, PPMs bid off adjusted EBITDA with multiples ranging anywhere from 8.0x up to 18.0x depending on the size and productivity of the groups as well as the types of ancillary services that are offered. Figure 8 presents the approximate range of valuation multiples for various types of transactions.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 8

Health system transactions tend to differ from PPMs in that health systems typically focus their offers on lucrative employment contract compensation, as compared to the levels of upfront business value offered by PPMs. Notable transactions in the cardiology space that we have observed in recent years are presented in the following figure:

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 9

A notable recent transaction occurred in April of 2023, with Cardiovascular Associates of America’s (CVUSA) acquisition of Novocardia. While terms of the deal were not disclosed, Novocardia’s private equity sponsor, Deerfield Management, will remain a co-investor and hold a board seat, while CVUSA’s investor, Webster Equity Partners, will continue to lead investment strategy for the organization.[16] Novocardia now operates as a division of CVUSA, and functions as the value-based care arm of CVUSA.[17] The combined operations consist of over 200 cardiovascular physicians across eight states. CVUSA is amongst the largest cardiology platforms in the United States, as illustrated in the following figure:

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 10

How Different Buyers Approach Transactions

Based on our involvement with physician practice transactions involving private equity-backed PPMs, a common strategy involves the owner physicians of the target practice agreeing to take a “scrape” (i.e., pay cut) post transaction, which increases EBITDA on an adjusted basis, and, in turn, purchase price. Figure 11 depicts an example of a scrape and the coinciding purchase price in a hypothetical transaction.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 11

Under this transaction approach, physicians sacrifice annual compensation in exchange for a higher upfront purchase price. We note that a portion of the upfront purchase price is typically paid as rollover equity in the post-transaction business, which typically ranges from 20 percent to 40 percent of the total purchase consideration. The provision of rollover equity incentivizes the physician group to stay engaged post transaction as a second lucrative payment can be achieved should the PPM sell the medical group for a high exit multiple. These higher exit multiples can be achieved through organic growth and the PPM’s willingness to invest in the addition of ancillary services (ASCs, OBLs, etc.) post transaction. Many smaller physician groups lack the capital needed to build and develop these ancillary services on their own, which motivates them to enter into an agreement with a PPM. Physician involvement in a transaction with a PPM does carry risk, as the rollover equity could potentially decrease in value depending on how the PPM is able to execute both on its ability to rollup additional cardiology medical groups into its PPM, as well as its ability to grow the revenue and/or profitability of the groups that comprise the PPM. Rollover equity is another item that makes it difficult to compare a PPM transaction to a health system transaction.

We note that physicians do not only inherit additional risk by partnering with PPMs. A PPM typically manages all of the non-clinical administrative work post transaction, which allows the physicians to focus solely on providing the best care possible for their patients without the burden of managing the business aspects of a medical practice. The ability to leverage the C-suite of a PPM can allow a practice to grow in ways that many would not be able to achieve on their own.

Conversely, health systems tend to approach physician groups with lower upfront purchase prices but higher ongoing compensation packages. Based on the health systems we have worked with, post-transaction compensation tends to be tied to productivity (typically a compensation per wRVU metric), which rewards physicians for high productivity and motivates them to continue building their practices. The dynamics vary depending on the physician group’s compensation pre-transaction, with some health system transactions still commanding upfront purchase prices above tangible asset value as the target physician groups historically were compensated at high levels. Another important item to note is that the compensation health systems pay the physicians post transaction must be consistent with fair market value. Should the target physician group already have high compensation levels, the health system may be constrained by fair market value and not be able to provide a higher compensation package. In many instances this is the result of practices in which there are many employed physicians, Advanced Practice Providers, and in-office ancillary services, allowing owner physicians to earn high levels of compensation compared to peers producing at similar levels of personally performed services. Figure 12 highlights a scenario where a physician group receives a higher compensation package, while Figure 13 highlights a scenario where fair market value constrains the ability of the health system to increase compensation post transaction.

2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook - A Reviving Heartbeat Figure 13

As highlighted in the figures, purchase price and post-transaction compensation are inversely related. Transactions involving health systems typically leave the physician group with different risk than transactions involving PPMs. While there is uncertainty surrounding the future value of rollover equity and achieving of income repair in a PPM transaction, uncertainty surrounding the future compensation levels under an employment contract, which are typically governed by what compensation level is fair market value, can be a risk factor under a health system transaction.

Potential Impacts of FTC Proposal to Ban Non-Compete Agreements

On January 5, 2023, the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) proposed a rule that would ban noncompete agreements if enacted. If put into effect, employers would be barred from entering into future non-competes with employees and all noncompete agreements currently in effect would be disbanded. The major exception to this proposed rule is that transactional noncompete agreements would still be allowed for those who own a 25 percent or greater interest in the subject business of the transaction.[18] We also note that this is only a proposed rule by the FTC which will need to go through a commentary and review process. Following the commentary and review process, a majority vote of the FTC commissioners will be needed to make the rule final. Even after going final, there is the potential for legal challenge that could delay or block the enactment of the rule. The vote has already been delayed, pushed to an April 2024 date. Ultimately, the impact on how this potential new rule may impact acquisition activity of cardiology medical practices is uncertain.

 CONCLUSION

The increasing age and deteriorating health of Americans, an expected shortage of cardiologists in the future, and the shift of cardiac procedures to outpatient settings have led to increased transaction activity in cardiology practices in recent years. Cardiology groups are in a position to benefit whether they enter into a deal with a private equity-backed PPM or a health system. Each option comes with its own benefits and associated risks, but the cardiology space is expected to continue its already fluid structure going forward with a continued high volume of transactions expected in the coming years.

[1] Electrophysiology, Invasive, Invasive/Interventional, and Noninvasive Cardiology specialties.
[2] Based on the average of observed compound annual growth rates for each of the four cardiology specialties.
[3] U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts, last accessed April 12, 2023, https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/US
[4] Administration for Community Living, “2021 Profile of Older Americans,” last accessed April 12, 2023, https://acl.gov/sites/default/files/Profile%20of%20OA/2021%20Profile%20of%20OA/2021ProfileOlderAmericans_508.pdf
[5] Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, “Obesity Prevention Source,” last accessed April 12, 2023, https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/obesityprevention-source/obesity-trends-original/obesity-rates-worldwide/
[6] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Heart Disease Facts,” last accessed April 12, 2023, https://www.cdc.gov/heartdisease/facts.htm
[7] O’Hearn MS, Meghan, et al., “Trends and Disparities in Cardiometabolic Health Among U.S. Adults 1999-2018,” last accessed April 19, 2023, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0735109722049944?via%3Dihub
[8] Merritt Hawkins, “The Cardiology Job Market in 2022,” last accessed April 12, 2023, https://www.merritthawkins.com/news-and-insights/blog/career-insights/cardiology-job-market-2022/
[9] Physicians Advocacy Institute, “COVID-19’s Impact on Acquisitions of Physician Practices and Physician Employment 2019-2021,” last accessed April 12, 2023, http://www.physiciansadvocacyinstitute.org/Portals/0/assets/docs/PAI-Research/Physician%20Practice%20Trends%20 Specialty%20Report%202019-2022.pdf?ver=MWjYUAcARbuGP9uxcgQkPw%3D%3D
[10] Ambulatory Surgery Center Association, “History,” last accessed April 13, 2023, https://www.ascassociation.org/50yearsofascs/timeline
[11] Cath Lab Digest, “The Cardiovascular Shift to the Outpatient Setting,” last accessed April 19, 2023, https://www.hmpgloballearningnetwork.com/site/cathlab/cardiovascular-shift-outpatient-setting
[12] Cardiovascular Business, “How to Prepare Hospitals for the Migration of Cardiovascular Procedures to OBLs and ASCs,” last accessed April 13, 2023, https://cardiovascularbusiness.com/topics/healthcare-management/healthcare-economics/how-prepare-hospitals-migrationcardiovascular-procedures-obls-and-ascs
[13] Surgery Partners, Inc., “Q4 2022 Surgery Partners, Inc. Earnings Conference Call Mar 1, 2023 at 8:30am EST,” last accessed April 19, 2023, https:// ir.surgerypartners.com/events/event-details/q4-2022-surgery-partners-inc-earnings-conference-call
[14] Obtained from: https://millionhearts.hhs.gov/files/MH_CQM.pdf; Last accessed July, 2023.
[15] LevinPro HC, Levin Associates, 2023, May, levinassociates.com. Italicized percentages depict year over year growth in observed transactions.
[16] Obtained from : https://cvausa.com/news/cvausa-novocardia-merger; last accessed July 5, 2023.
[17] Obtained from: https://novocardiahealth.com/about; last accessed July 5, 2023.
[18] University of Maryland Francis King Carey School of Law, “The FTC’s New Noncompete Proposal: A Potential Win for Workers and Possible Mass Changeover Across All Industries?” Last accessed April 19, 2023, https://www.law.umaryland.edu/content/articles/name-659569-en.html

The post 2023 Cardiology Industry Outlook: A Reviving Heartbeat appeared first on HealthCare Appraisers.

]]>